New York at Dallas: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jul 16, 2026 9:00 pm - Arlington, TX
Odds: Dallas by 1.5, Total Points: 176.5

POSTPONED

Matchup Menu: NYL @ DAL

More Games From Jul 16, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYL DAL
Points 90.0 89.3
Total Points   179.3
Points From 2-Pointers 45.0 49.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.9 26.6
Points From Free Throws 17.0 13.4
Shooting NYL DAL
Field Goals Made 31.8 33.6
Field Goals Attempted 67.9 73.5
Field Goal % 46.9% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 22.5 24.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 49.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.2 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 17.0 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 16.7
Free Throw % 85.9% 80.2%
Ball Control NYL DAL
Rebounds 41.7 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 32.4 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 9.0
Turnovers 12.6 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.3
Steals 4.3 6.0
Fouls 15.6 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYL DAL
Total Possessions 83.3
Effective Scoring Chances 79.9 83.2
% of Possessions with NYL DAL
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 52.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 26.1%
Player Fouled 21.5% 18.7%
Turnover 15.1% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NYL DAL
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 21.7%