New York at Dallas: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jul 16, 2026 9:00 pm - Arlington, TX
Odds: Dallas by 1.5, Total Points: 176.5

POSTPONED

Matchup Menu: NYL @ DAL

More Games From Jul 16, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYL DAL
Points 88.0 89.5
Total Points   177.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 49.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.8 26.5
Points From Free Throws 16.6 13.6
Shooting NYL DAL
Field Goals Made 30.9 33.5
Field Goals Attempted 69.1 72.5
Field Goal % 44.8% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 24.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 48.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 28.5 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 16.6 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 17.0
Free Throw % 85.3% 80.0%
Ball Control NYL DAL
Rebounds 41.3 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 31.6 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 9.0
Turnovers 11.8 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.6
Steals 4.5 5.7
Fouls 16.0 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYL DAL
Total Possessions 82.9
Effective Scoring Chances 80.8 82.4
% of Possessions with NYL DAL
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 51.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 26.3%
Player Fouled 21.1% 19.3%
Turnover 14.2% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NYL DAL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 22.1%