New York at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jun 28, 2026 7:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 1.5, Total Points: 164.5

Matchup Menu: NYL @ GSV

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	NYL	GSV
Points	81.4	85.9
Total Points		167.3
Points From 2-Pointers	34.4	36.0
Points From 3-Pointers	28.2	35.6
Points From Free Throws	18.8	14.2

Shooting	NYL	GSV
Field Goals Made	26.6	29.9
Field Goals Attempted	62.1	70.9
Field Goal %	42.9%	42.1%
2 Pointers Made	17.2	18.0
2 Pointers Attempted	35.0	38.6
2 Point Shooting %	49.2%	46.7%
3 Pointers Made	9.4	11.9
3 Pointers Attempted	27.1	32.4
3 Point Shooting %	34.7%	36.6%
Free Throws Made	18.8	14.2
Free Throws Attempted	21.8	18.3
Free Throw %	86.1%	77.9%

Ball Control	NYL	GSV
Rebounds	42.0	37.7
Rebounds - Defensive	32.7	27.5
Rebounds - Offensive	9.3	10.3
Turnovers	14.3	9.0
Blocked Shots	3.6	4.1
Steals	4.3	7.0
Fouls	17.0	19.2

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	NYL	GSV
Total Possessions	80.4
Effective Scoring Chances	75.4	81.7

% of Possessions with	NYL	GSV
2 Point Attempt	38.3%	41.9%
3 Point Attempt	29.7%	35.2%
Player Fouled	23.9%	21.1%
Turnover	17.8%	11.2%
Opponent Steal	8.7%	5.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken	NYL	GSV
Shot Blocked	5.9%	5.9%
Offensive Rebound	25.2%	23.9%