New York at Connecticut: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Aug 15, 2026 1:00 pm - Uncasville, CT
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: NYL @ CON

More Games From Aug 15, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYL CON
Points 89.4 80.5
Total Points   169.9
Points From 2-Pointers 40.8 47.8
Points From 3-Pointers 27.4 18.6
Points From Free Throws 21.1 14.1
Shooting NYL CON
Field Goals Made 29.6 30.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 70.4
Field Goal % 46.8% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 23.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 51.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 21.1 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 20.3
Free Throw % 85.9% 69.7%
Ball Control NYL CON
Rebounds 42.3 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.5
Turnovers 15.0 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.5
Steals 5.8 7.5
Fouls 16.9 21.7

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYL CON
Total Possessions 83.7
Effective Scoring Chances 78.0 82.5
% of Possessions with NYL CON
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 53.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 20.1%
Player Fouled 26.0% 20.2%
Turnover 17.9% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NYL CON
Shot Blocked 6.4% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 24.1%