New York at Seattle: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jun 25, 2026 10:00 pm - Seattle, WA
Odds: New York by 8.5, Total Points: 167.5

Matchup Menu: NYL @ SEA

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NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYL SEA
Points 88.9 83.3
Total Points   172.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 42.0
Points From 3-Pointers 30.2 27.5
Points From Free Throws 19.6 13.8
Shooting NYL SEA
Field Goals Made 29.6 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 69.0 73.1
Field Goal % 43.0% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 45.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 19.6 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 17.4
Free Throw % 85.3% 79.1%
Ball Control NYL SEA
Rebounds 46.0 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.9
Turnovers 13.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.0
Steals 6.3 6.7
Fouls 14.8 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYL SEA
Total Possessions 85.0
Effective Scoring Chances 83.1 83.4
% of Possessions with NYL SEA
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 29.1%
Player Fouled 21.4% 17.4%
Turnover 15.7% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NYL SEA
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 22.2%