New York at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Aug 18, 2026 9:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: New York by 4.5, Total Points: 180.5

Matchup Menu: NYL @ CHI

More Games From Aug 18, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYL CHI
Points 92.0 88.5
Total Points   180.5
Points From 2-Pointers 45.8 46.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 25.7
Points From Free Throws 20.2 16.3
Shooting NYL CHI
Field Goals Made 31.6 31.8
Field Goals Attempted 68.4 72.0
Field Goal % 46.2% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 23.3
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 47.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.1 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 20.2 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 21.4
Free Throw % 85.4% 76.3%
Ball Control NYL CHI
Rebounds 44.3 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 33.9 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 8.6
Turnovers 13.6 10.5
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.1
Steals 5.6 6.6
Fouls 16.7 19.6

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYL CHI
Total Possessions 85.9
Effective Scoring Chances 82.7 84.0
% of Possessions with NYL CHI
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 25.2%
Player Fouled 22.8% 19.4%
Turnover 15.8% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NYL CHI
Shot Blocked 5.8% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 20.3%