New York at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Sunday May 10, 2026 3:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: New York by 5.5, Total Points: 165.5

Matchup Menu: NYL @ WAS

More Games From May 10, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYL WAS
Points 86.1 84.9
Total Points   171.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 47.1
Points From 3-Pointers 29.1 21.1
Points From Free Throws 16.4 16.7
Shooting NYL WAS
Field Goals Made 30.0 30.6
Field Goals Attempted 66.7 67.6
Field Goal % 44.9% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 47.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.5 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 16.4 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 23.0
Free Throw % 85.1% 72.6%
Ball Control NYL WAS
Rebounds 37.2 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.1 29.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 11.2
Turnovers 12.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.3
Steals 6.2 4.7
Fouls 19.0 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYL WAS
Total Possessions 82.1
Effective Scoring Chances 78.3 81.3
% of Possessions with NYL WAS
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 21.2%
Player Fouled 22.0% 23.2%
Turnover 14.6% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NYL WAS
Shot Blocked 5.0% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 27.8%