New York at Phoenix: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Aug 30, 2025 10:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: New York by 1, Total Points: 165.5

Matchup Menu: NYL @ PHX

More Games From Aug 30, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYL PHX
Points 91.7 84.9
Total Points   176.6
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.6 25.9
Points From Free Throws 16.5 17.1
Shooting NYL PHX
Field Goals Made 31.8 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 66.8 67.0
Field Goal % 47.6% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 31.8 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 16.5 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 22.0
Free Throw % 85.3% 77.6%
Ball Control NYL PHX
Rebounds 41.4 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 32.6 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 7.2
Turnovers 13.3 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.6
Steals 5.4 6.4
Fouls 19.3 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYL PHX
Total Possessions 83.3
Effective Scoring Chances 78.9 79.7
% of Possessions with NYL PHX
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 34.1% 27.7%
Player Fouled 21.4% 23.2%
Turnover 15.9% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NYL PHX
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 18.2%