New York at Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jul 18, 2026 8:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: New York by 1.5, Total Points: 184.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYL IND
Points 94.3 97.9
Total Points   192.3
Points From 2-Pointers 47.3 47.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.9 34.0
Points From Free Throws 19.2 16.5
Shooting NYL IND
Field Goals Made 32.9 35.1
Field Goals Attempted 69.4 71.5
Field Goal % 47.5% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 23.6 23.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.4 44.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 27.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 41.6%
Free Throws Made 19.2 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 20.6
Free Throw % 85.3% 80.0%
Ball Control NYL IND
Rebounds 39.7 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.8 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 8.6
Turnovers 12.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.3
Steals 5.1 6.0
Fouls 19.0 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYL IND
Total Possessions 86.0
Effective Scoring Chances 83.1 83.4
% of Possessions with NYL IND
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 28.3%
Player Fouled 23.2% 22.1%
Turnover 14.8% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NYL IND
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 22.3%