Portland at Los Angeles: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jun 7, 2026 7:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Los Angeles by 7.5, Total Points: 174.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PDX LAS
Points 92.1 90.0
Total Points   182.1
Points From 2-Pointers 45.0 46.2
Points From 3-Pointers 33.2 26.2
Points From Free Throws 13.9 17.6
Shooting PDX LAS
Field Goals Made 33.6 31.8
Field Goals Attempted 69.7 65.9
Field Goal % 48.2% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.5 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.5 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 13.9 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 22.9
Free Throw % 80.1% 77.0%
Ball Control PDX LAS
Rebounds 37.5 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.5
Turnovers 14.1 14.2
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.3
Steals 8.1 7.6
Fouls 20.9 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PDX LAS
Total Possessions 84.5
Effective Scoring Chances 80.6 79.9
% of Possessions with PDX LAS
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 27.6%
Player Fouled 19.7% 24.7%
Turnover 16.7% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PDX LAS
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 25.9%