Portland at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jun 26, 2026 7:30 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Chicago by 6.5, Total Points: 173.5

Matchup Menu: PDX @ CHI

More Games From Jun 26, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PDX CHI
Points 89.6 91.7
Total Points   181.3
Points From 2-Pointers 44.0 47.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.1 23.7
Points From Free Throws 17.6 20.8
Shooting PDX CHI
Field Goals Made 31.3 31.5
Field Goals Attempted 69.0 67.3
Field Goal % 45.4% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 22.0 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.9 43.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 17.6 20.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 27.0
Free Throw % 80.1% 77.1%
Ball Control PDX CHI
Rebounds 38.8 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.0
Turnovers 13.4 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.9
Steals 6.4 7.2
Fouls 19.2 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PDX CHI
Total Possessions 85.5
Effective Scoring Chances 81.9 83.3
% of Possessions with PDX CHI
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 24.3%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.4%
Turnover 15.6% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PDX CHI
Shot Blocked 7.4% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 25.6%