Portland at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jul 16, 2026 7:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Washington by 6.5, Total Points: 162.5

Matchup Menu: PDX @ WAS

More Games From Jul 16, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PDX WAS
Points 82.2 86.5
Total Points   168.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 46.5
Points From 3-Pointers 29.1 18.6
Points From Free Throws 14.5 21.4
Shooting PDX WAS
Field Goals Made 29.0 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 66.4 63.0
Field Goal % 43.7% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 42.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 14.5 21.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 28.7
Free Throw % 81.6% 74.8%
Ball Control PDX WAS
Rebounds 31.7 44.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 30.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 13.7
Turnovers 12.9 14.7
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.7
Steals 8.1 5.6
Fouls 22.3 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PDX WAS
Total Possessions 82.0
Effective Scoring Chances 77.0 81.0
% of Possessions with PDX WAS
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 20.7%
Player Fouled 21.3% 27.2%
Turnover 15.8% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PDX WAS
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 36.6%