Portland at Minnesota: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jul 18, 2026 8:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 13.5, Total Points: 173.5

Matchup Menu: PDX @ MIN

More Games From Jul 18, 2026

Box Score Projection

Scoring	PDX	MIN
Points	83.0	98.1
Total Points		181.1
Points From 2-Pointers	34.7	52.2
Points From 3-Pointers	34.0	29.4
Points From Free Throws	14.3	16.6

Shooting	PDX	MIN
Field Goals Made	28.7	35.9
Field Goals Attempted	67.2	71.4
Field Goal %	42.7%	50.3%
2 Pointers Made	17.4	26.1
2 Pointers Attempted	35.5	46.8
2 Point Shooting %	49.0%	55.7%
3 Pointers Made	11.3	9.8
3 Pointers Attempted	31.7	24.5
3 Point Shooting %	35.7%	39.9%
Free Throws Made	14.3	16.6
Free Throws Attempted	17.5	20.4
Free Throw %	81.6%	81.5%

Ball Control	PDX	MIN
Rebounds	34.6	42.5
Rebounds - Defensive	24.7	29.7
Rebounds - Offensive	9.9	12.8
Turnovers	15.6	11.9
Blocked Shots	3.0	5.3
Steals	6.5	9.3
Fouls	16.1	15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	PDX	MIN
Total Possessions	83.4
Effective Scoring Chances	77.7	84.3

% of Possessions with	PDX	MIN
2 Point Attempt	37.1%	48.1%
3 Point Attempt	33.2%	25.2%
Player Fouled	18.7%	19.3%
Turnover	18.7%	14.3%
Opponent Steal	11.1%	7.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken	PDX	MIN
Shot Blocked	7.6%	4.6%
Offensive Rebound	25.0%	34.2%