Indiana at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Thursday May 28, 2026 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 2.5, Total Points: 167.5

Matchup Menu: IND @ GSV

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	IND	GSV
Points	86.1	88.1
Total Points		174.2
Points From 2-Pointers	38.8	42.7
Points From 3-Pointers	29.5	28.8
Points From Free Throws	17.8	16.6

Shooting	IND	GSV
Field Goals Made	29.2	31.0
Field Goals Attempted	63.8	71.2
Field Goal %	45.8%	43.5%
2 Pointers Made	19.4	21.4
2 Pointers Attempted	38.8	42.9
2 Point Shooting %	50.1%	49.8%
3 Pointers Made	9.8	9.6
3 Pointers Attempted	25.0	28.3
3 Point Shooting %	39.3%	33.8%
Free Throws Made	17.8	16.6
Free Throws Attempted	22.1	21.1
Free Throw %	80.5%	78.6%

Ball Control	IND	GSV
Rebounds	39.6	39.7
Rebounds - Defensive	30.8	27.8
Rebounds - Offensive	8.8	11.8
Turnovers	14.1	10.0
Blocked Shots	3.1	4.2
Steals	4.9	6.9
Fouls	18.6	19.8

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	IND	GSV
Total Possessions	82.3
Effective Scoring Chances	77.0	84.1

% of Possessions with	IND	GSV
2 Point Attempt	41.8%	45.0%
3 Point Attempt	26.9%	29.7%
Player Fouled	24.0%	22.6%
Turnover	17.1%	12.1%
Opponent Steal	8.4%	6.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken	IND	GSV
Shot Blocked	6.0%	4.9%
Offensive Rebound	24.1%	27.8%