Indiana at Los Angeles: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jul 8, 2026 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Indiana by 5.5, Total Points: 181.5

Matchup Menu: IND @ LAS

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	IND	LAS
Points	102.3	93.0
Total Points		195.3
Points From 2-Pointers	50.5	52.1
Points From 3-Pointers	33.3	23.7
Points From Free Throws	18.6	17.2

Shooting	IND	LAS
Field Goals Made	36.3	33.9
Field Goals Attempted	69.9	69.7
Field Goal %	52.0%	48.7%
2 Pointers Made	25.2	26.0
2 Pointers Attempted	42.0	46.9
2 Point Shooting %	60.2%	55.5%
3 Pointers Made	11.1	7.9
3 Pointers Attempted	28.0	22.8
3 Point Shooting %	39.6%	34.6%
Free Throws Made	18.6	17.2
Free Throws Attempted	22.6	21.8
Free Throw %	82.2%	79.1%

Ball Control	IND	LAS
Rebounds	40.3	33.4
Rebounds - Defensive	29.9	25.2
Rebounds - Offensive	10.5	8.2
Turnovers	14.2	13.3
Blocked Shots	4.0	3.2
Steals	7.1	6.8
Fouls	21.5	20.0

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	IND	LAS
Total Possessions	87.7
Effective Scoring Chances	84.0	82.6

% of Possessions with	IND	LAS
2 Point Attempt	42.2%	48.1%
3 Point Attempt	28.1%	23.4%
Player Fouled	22.8%	24.5%
Turnover	16.2%	15.2%
Opponent Steal	7.7%	8.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken	IND	LAS
Shot Blocked	4.7%	5.8%
Offensive Rebound	29.4%	21.5%