Indiana at Los Angeles: Box Score Simulation

Friday Aug 29, 2025 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Los Angeles by 2, Total Points: 180.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND LAS
Points 101.8 90.9
Total Points   192.7
Points From 2-Pointers 52.5 51.9
Points From 3-Pointers 32.6 22.9
Points From Free Throws 16.6 16.1
Shooting IND LAS
Field Goals Made 37.1 33.6
Field Goals Attempted 70.8 69.7
Field Goal % 52.4% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 26.3 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 43.6 46.1
2 Point Shooting % 60.3% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.9% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 16.6 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 21.1
Free Throw % 80.0% 76.3%
Ball Control IND LAS
Rebounds 40.1 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 30.0 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 8.7
Turnovers 13.5 13.4
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.2
Steals 7.8 6.6
Fouls 20.3 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND LAS
Total Possessions 87.1
Effective Scoring Chances 83.7 82.4
% of Possessions with IND LAS
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 24.3%
Player Fouled 22.4% 23.3%
Turnover 15.5% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND LAS
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 22.6%