Indiana at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Aug 8, 2026 3:30 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Indiana by 6.5, Total Points: 191.5

Matchup Menu: IND @ CHI

More Games From Aug 8, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND CHI
Points 97.6 91.6
Total Points   189.2
Points From 2-Pointers 48.9 51.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 20.7
Points From Free Throws 21.8 19.9
Shooting IND CHI
Field Goals Made 33.4 32.4
Field Goals Attempted 69.3 70.8
Field Goal % 48.2% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 24.5 25.5
2 Pointers Attempted 44.8 50.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 21.8 19.9
Free Throws Attempted 26.7 25.9
Free Throw % 81.6% 76.6%
Ball Control IND CHI
Rebounds 43.5 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 32.5 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 8.9
Turnovers 13.7 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.2
Steals 6.1 6.7
Fouls 19.8 21.2

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND CHI
Total Possessions 88.1
Effective Scoring Chances 85.5 85.6
% of Possessions with IND CHI
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 20.3%
Player Fouled 24.1% 22.5%
Turnover 15.5% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND CHI
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 21.6%