Indiana at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jun 8, 2026 7:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Indiana by 5.5, Total Points: 171.5

Matchup Menu: IND @ WAS

More Games From Jun 8, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND WAS
Points 90.7 86.0
Total Points   176.6
Points From 2-Pointers 44.5 48.8
Points From 3-Pointers 28.2 16.3
Points From Free Throws 17.9 20.8
Shooting IND WAS
Field Goals Made 31.7 29.9
Field Goals Attempted 67.3 66.2
Field Goal % 47.0% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 24.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.7 49.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 17.9 20.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 28.4
Free Throw % 81.6% 73.4%
Ball Control IND WAS
Rebounds 36.4 41.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 12.4
Turnovers 12.8 13.8
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.5
Steals 7.2 4.9
Fouls 22.6 20.9

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND WAS
Total Possessions 84.9
Effective Scoring Chances 80.5 83.5
% of Possessions with IND WAS
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 17.1%
Player Fouled 24.6% 26.7%
Turnover 15.1% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND WAS
Shot Blocked 5.4% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 30.7%