Indiana at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jun 8, 2026 7:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Indiana by 5.5, Total Points: 171.5

Matchup Menu: IND @ WAS

More Games From Jun 8, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND WAS
Points 92.8 88.4
Total Points   181.1
Points From 2-Pointers 46.2 51.2
Points From 3-Pointers 29.7 17.1
Points From Free Throws 16.9 20.0
Shooting IND WAS
Field Goals Made 33.0 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 68.3 66.5
Field Goal % 48.3% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 23.1 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 49.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 16.9 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 27.6
Free Throw % 80.0% 72.6%
Ball Control IND WAS
Rebounds 34.8 41.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 12.3
Turnovers 11.7 13.5
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.8
Steals 7.2 4.6
Fouls 21.8 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND WAS
Total Possessions 84.6
Effective Scoring Chances 80.7 83.3
% of Possessions with IND WAS
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 17.7%
Player Fouled 23.3% 25.7%
Turnover 13.9% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND WAS
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 31.2%