Indiana at New York: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jun 6, 2026 8:00 pm - Brooklyn, NY
Odds: New York by 3.5, Total Points: 174.5

Matchup Menu: IND @ NYL

More Games From Jun 6, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND NYL
Points 97.9 94.3
Total Points   192.3
Points From 2-Pointers 47.5 47.3
Points From 3-Pointers 34.0 27.9
Points From Free Throws 16.5 19.2
Shooting IND NYL
Field Goals Made 35.1 32.9
Field Goals Attempted 71.5 69.4
Field Goal % 49.1% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 23.8 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 44.3 42.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.2 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 41.6% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 16.5 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 22.5
Free Throw % 80.0% 85.3%
Ball Control IND NYL
Rebounds 36.7 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.9
Turnovers 11.2 12.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.1
Steals 6.0 5.1
Fouls 19.9 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND NYL
Total Possessions 86.0
Effective Scoring Chances 83.4 83.1
% of Possessions with IND NYL
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 27.7%
Player Fouled 22.1% 23.2%
Turnover 13.0% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND NYL
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 26.0%