Atlanta at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Jun 9, 2026 7:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Atlanta by 9.5, Total Points: 165.5

Matchup Menu: ATL @ CHI

More Games From Jun 9, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL CHI
Points 92.4 88.8
Total Points   181.2
Points From 2-Pointers 46.5 49.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 21.1
Points From Free Throws 23.3 18.4
Shooting ATL CHI
Field Goals Made 30.8 31.7
Field Goals Attempted 70.9 66.1
Field Goal % 43.4% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 23.3 24.7
2 Pointers Attempted 46.1 45.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 23.3 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 29.3 23.9
Free Throw % 79.4% 76.8%
Ball Control ATL CHI
Rebounds 43.8 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 7.0
Turnovers 12.3 14.0
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.7
Steals 8.0 6.0
Fouls 18.2 20.1

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL CHI
Total Possessions 87.0
Effective Scoring Chances 88.2 79.9
% of Possessions with ATL CHI
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 21.7%
Player Fouled 23.1% 20.9%
Turnover 14.1% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL CHI
Shot Blocked 8.8% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 18.7%