Atlanta at Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jun 18, 2026 7:30 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Atlanta by 1.5, Total Points: 173.5

Matchup Menu: ATL @ IND

More Games From Jun 18, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL IND
Points 94.4 98.2
Total Points   192.6
Points From 2-Pointers 49.7 50.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 29.1
Points From Free Throws 21.6 18.8
Shooting ATL IND
Field Goals Made 32.6 34.9
Field Goals Attempted 71.8 65.4
Field Goal % 45.4% 53.3%
2 Pointers Made 24.9 25.2
2 Pointers Attempted 47.4 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 59.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 41.6%
Free Throws Made 21.6 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 23.5
Free Throw % 79.4% 80.0%
Ball Control ATL IND
Rebounds 38.9 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 7.0
Turnovers 12.1 15.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.5
Steals 7.7 5.9
Fouls 20.8 20.3

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL IND
Total Possessions 87.4
Effective Scoring Chances 88.2 79.3
% of Possessions with ATL IND
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 24.3%
Player Fouled 23.2% 23.8%
Turnover 13.9% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL IND
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 21.2%