Atlanta at Las Vegas: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Aug 18, 2026 9:00 pm - Paradise, NV
Odds: Las Vegas by 3.5, Total Points: 179.5

Matchup Menu: ATL @ LVA

More Games From Aug 18, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL LVA
Points 86.4 92.1
Total Points   178.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 50.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 24.0
Points From Free Throws 19.4 17.6
Shooting ATL LVA
Field Goals Made 29.3 33.2
Field Goals Attempted 70.9 65.0
Field Goal % 41.3% 51.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 25.3
2 Pointers Attempted 45.4 43.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 19.4 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 21.6
Free Throw % 79.7% 81.4%
Ball Control ATL LVA
Rebounds 40.0 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 6.7
Turnovers 12.3 13.3
Blocked Shots 2.2 5.8
Steals 8.2 5.7
Fouls 18.7 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Las Vegas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL LVA
Total Possessions 84.8
Effective Scoring Chances 85.2 78.2
% of Possessions with ATL LVA
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 23.4%
Player Fouled 20.2% 22.1%
Turnover 14.5% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL LVA
Shot Blocked 9.0% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 19.7%