Las Vegas at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Sunday May 31, 2026 3:30 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Las Vegas by 1.5, Total Points: 167.5

Matchup Menu: LVA @ GSV

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	LVA	GSV
Points	83.1	82.0
Total Points		165.1
Points From 2-Pointers	42.4	33.5
Points From 3-Pointers	24.2	32.9
Points From Free Throws	16.6	15.5

Shooting	LVA	GSV
Field Goals Made	29.2	27.7
Field Goals Attempted	63.6	70.1
Field Goal %	46.0%	39.5%
2 Pointers Made	21.2	16.8
2 Pointers Attempted	41.3	39.5
2 Point Shooting %	51.3%	42.4%
3 Pointers Made	8.1	11.0
3 Pointers Attempted	22.3	30.6
3 Point Shooting %	36.2%	35.9%
Free Throws Made	16.6	15.5
Free Throws Attempted	20.8	19.9
Free Throw %	79.5%	77.9%

Ball Control	LVA	GSV
Rebounds	40.4	40.6
Rebounds - Defensive	32.7	28.9
Rebounds - Offensive	7.7	11.7
Turnovers	11.4	9.7
Blocked Shots	4.4	2.6
Steals	5.2	6.5
Fouls	15.9	17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	LVA	GSV
Total Possessions	79.9
Effective Scoring Chances	76.2	81.9

% of Possessions with	LVA	GSV
2 Point Attempt	46.6%	42.4%
3 Point Attempt	25.1%	32.8%
Player Fouled	22.4%	19.9%
Turnover	14.3%	12.1%
Opponent Steal	8.2%	6.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken	LVA	GSV
Shot Blocked	3.8%	7.0%
Offensive Rebound	21.1%	26.3%