Las Vegas at Connecticut: Box Score Simulation

Friday May 15, 2026 7:30 pm - Uncasville, CT
Odds: Las Vegas by 15.5, Total Points: 172.5

Matchup Menu: LVA @ CON

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	LVA	CON
Points	90.2	76.1
Total Points		166.4
Points From 2-Pointers	46.8	43.4
Points From 3-Pointers	23.9	17.5
Points From Free Throws	19.6	15.2

Shooting	LVA	CON
Field Goals Made	31.3	27.5
Field Goals Attempted	65.4	68.3
Field Goal %	47.9%	40.3%
2 Pointers Made	23.4	21.7
2 Pointers Attempted	44.0	50.1
2 Point Shooting %	53.1%	43.3%
3 Pointers Made	8.0	5.8
3 Pointers Attempted	21.3	18.3
3 Point Shooting %	37.3%	32.0%
Free Throws Made	19.6	15.2
Free Throws Attempted	24.0	21.4
Free Throw %	81.6%	71.3%

Ball Control	LVA	CON
Rebounds	41.1	39.1
Rebounds - Defensive	32.6	27.9
Rebounds - Offensive	8.5	11.2
Turnovers	12.0	13.4
Blocked Shots	5.0	3.0
Steals	6.5	7.2
Fouls	16.3	20.4

Playing Style Advantage: Las Vegas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	LVA	CON
Total Possessions	83.4
Effective Scoring Chances	79.9	81.2

% of Possessions with	LVA	CON
2 Point Attempt	47.3%	51.8%
3 Point Attempt	22.9%	18.9%
Player Fouled	24.5%	19.6%
Turnover	14.4%	16.1%
Opponent Steal	8.6%	7.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken	LVA	CON
Shot Blocked	4.4%	7.8%
Offensive Rebound	23.3%	25.6%