Las Vegas at Seattle: Box Score Simulation

Sunday May 25, 2025 6:00 pm - Seattle, WA
Odds: Las Vegas by 5, Total Points: 158

Matchup Menu: LVA @ SEA

More Games From May 25, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LVA SEA
Points 89.7 79.2
Total Points   169.0
Points From 2-Pointers 45.8 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 25.5
Points From Free Throws 18.9 14.5
Shooting LVA SEA
Field Goals Made 31.3 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 69.8 71.2
Field Goal % 44.8% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 44.3 45.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 18.9 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 18.3
Free Throw % 81.6% 79.1%
Ball Control LVA SEA
Rebounds 44.4 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 34.0 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 10.6
Turnovers 11.3 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.7
Steals 7.5 7.0
Fouls 14.0 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LVA SEA
Total Possessions 84.9
Effective Scoring Chances 84.0 82.2
% of Possessions with LVA SEA
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 26.7%
Player Fouled 20.9% 16.5%
Turnover 13.3% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LVA SEA
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 23.8%