Las Vegas at Los Angeles: Box Score Simulation

Sunday May 10, 2026 6:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Las Vegas by 1.5, Total Points: 178.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LVA LAS
Points 94.6 82.7
Total Points   177.4
Points From 2-Pointers 52.7 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.3 25.8
Points From Free Throws 15.6 14.1
Shooting LVA LAS
Field Goals Made 35.1 30.0
Field Goals Attempted 70.6 68.2
Field Goal % 49.7% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 26.3 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 45.3 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 15.6 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 18.3
Free Throw % 81.6% 76.9%
Ball Control LVA LAS
Rebounds 41.5 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.7 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 8.5
Turnovers 11.6 13.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 1.9
Steals 8.0 7.0
Fouls 17.0 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LVA LAS
Total Possessions 84.5
Effective Scoring Chances 82.7 79.0
% of Possessions with LVA LAS
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 26.3%
Player Fouled 20.8% 20.1%
Turnover 13.8% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LVA LAS
Shot Blocked 2.9% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 21.1%