Las Vegas at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jun 28, 2026 4:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Las Vegas by 7.5, Total Points: 181.5

Matchup Menu: LVA @ CHI

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NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LVA CHI
Points 93.2 83.6
Total Points   176.8
Points From 2-Pointers 51.1 43.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 23.2
Points From Free Throws 19.7 17.1
Shooting LVA CHI
Field Goals Made 33.0 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 69.1 70.2
Field Goal % 47.8% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 25.5 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 46.8 47.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 19.7 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 22.1
Free Throw % 81.4% 77.1%
Ball Control LVA CHI
Rebounds 43.2 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 33.9 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 9.2
Turnovers 11.1 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.7 2.7
Steals 6.4 6.5
Fouls 15.7 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LVA CHI
Total Possessions 85.5
Effective Scoring Chances 83.8 82.7
% of Possessions with LVA CHI
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 23.3%
Player Fouled 22.3% 18.4%
Turnover 13.0% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LVA CHI
Shot Blocked 4.0% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 21.3%