Las Vegas at Washington: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jul 22, 2026 7:30 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Las Vegas by 5.5, Total Points: 164.5

Matchup Menu: LVA @ WAS

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	LVA	WAS
Points	86.4	79.8
Total Points		166.2
Points From 2-Pointers	46.3	43.0
Points From 3-Pointers	24.3	19.2
Points From Free Throws	15.9	17.6

Shooting	LVA	WAS
Field Goals Made	31.2	27.9
Field Goals Attempted	67.7	65.4
Field Goal %	46.2%	42.6%
2 Pointers Made	23.1	21.5
2 Pointers Attempted	44.3	46.9
2 Point Shooting %	52.2%	45.8%
3 Pointers Made	8.1	6.4
3 Pointers Attempted	23.4	18.5
3 Point Shooting %	34.6%	34.6%
Free Throws Made	15.9	17.6
Free Throws Attempted	19.4	24.2
Free Throw %	81.6%	72.6%

Ball Control	LVA	WAS
Rebounds	36.3	42.9
Rebounds - Defensive	28.8	30.9
Rebounds - Offensive	7.5	12.0
Turnovers	10.1	14.0
Blocked Shots	5.7	2.2
Steals	7.4	4.8
Fouls	18.2	17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Las Vegas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	LVA	WAS
Total Possessions	82.0
Effective Scoring Chances	79.4	80.0

% of Possessions with	LVA	WAS
2 Point Attempt	49.0%	48.8%
3 Point Attempt	25.9%	19.2%
Player Fouled	21.7%	22.2%
Turnover	12.3%	17.1%
Opponent Steal	5.9%	9.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken	LVA	WAS
Shot Blocked	3.5%	8.5%
Offensive Rebound	19.5%	29.4%