Las Vegas at Minnesota: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Aug 8, 2026 1:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 4.5, Total Points: 182.5

Matchup Menu: LVA @ MIN

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NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LVA MIN
Points 87.6 88.4
Total Points   176.1
Points From 2-Pointers 44.7 45.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 29.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 13.9
Shooting LVA MIN
Field Goals Made 31.5 32.4
Field Goals Attempted 69.0 71.5
Field Goal % 45.6% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 22.7
2 Pointers Attempted 42.9 48.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 41.1%
Free Throws Made 15.4 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 17.1
Free Throw % 81.6% 81.5%
Ball Control LVA MIN
Rebounds 39.9 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.8 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 10.7
Turnovers 12.2 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.8
Steals 6.1 7.8
Fouls 13.0 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Las Vegas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LVA MIN
Total Possessions 82.9
Effective Scoring Chances 80.8 82.0
% of Possessions with LVA MIN
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 24.8%
Player Fouled 19.6% 15.7%
Turnover 14.7% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LVA MIN
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 26.5%