Las Vegas at New York: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Aug 9, 2026 12:30 pm - Brooklyn, NY
Odds: New York by 11.5, Total Points: 175.5

Matchup Menu: LVA @ NYL

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NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LVA NYL
Points 91.4 86.5
Total Points   177.8
Points From 2-Pointers 47.8 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 28.1 30.7
Points From Free Throws 15.5 16.7
Shooting LVA NYL
Field Goals Made 33.3 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 70.6 67.8
Field Goal % 47.1% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 23.9 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 45.3 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 15.5 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 19.7
Free Throw % 81.7% 85.1%
Ball Control LVA NYL
Rebounds 37.9 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 30.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 9.6
Turnovers 9.6 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.4
Steals 6.2 5.4
Fouls 16.6 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LVA NYL
Total Possessions 83.3
Effective Scoring Chances 82.0 79.6
% of Possessions with LVA NYL
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 30.1%
Player Fouled 20.4% 19.9%
Turnover 11.5% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LVA NYL
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 24.5%