Las Vegas at Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Aug 6, 2026 7:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN
Odds: Indiana by 1.5, Total Points: 192.5

Matchup Menu: LVA @ IND

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NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LVA IND
Points 94.9 92.6
Total Points   187.5
Points From 2-Pointers 52.8 44.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 30.5
Points From Free Throws 18.8 17.7
Shooting LVA IND
Field Goals Made 34.2 32.3
Field Goals Attempted 70.3 69.5
Field Goal % 48.6% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 48.5 44.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 41.2%
Free Throws Made 18.8 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 21.9
Free Throw % 81.6% 80.8%
Ball Control LVA IND
Rebounds 38.8 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 9.3
Turnovers 10.7 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.9 2.2
Steals 5.9 6.1
Fouls 18.1 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LVA IND
Total Possessions 85.9
Effective Scoring Chances 84.4 82.3
% of Possessions with LVA IND
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 25.5%
Player Fouled 22.5% 21.1%
Turnover 12.4% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LVA IND
Shot Blocked 3.2% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 23.9%