Miami at Buffalo: Point Spread Line Movement

Thursday Sep 18, 2025 8:15 pm - Orchard Park, NY
Odds: Buffalo by 11, Total Points: 50.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ BUF

More Games From Week 3
BUF Spread MIA Spread
BUF -11.0 Open -8.5 High -13.0
Last -11.5 Low -8.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020 NFL season there have been 68 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10 to 12 points. In these games:

  • The team like Buffalo won the game 58 times (85.3%).
  • The team like Miami won the game 10 times (14.7%).
  • The team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 36-31-1 (53.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.4 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022 NFL season there have been 139 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 71-64-4 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -8.5 -11.5 --
Open -8.5 -12.5 --
History
09/18 07:35 PM -- -11.5 --
09/18 11:05 AM -- -11.5 --
09/18 09:15 AM -- -12.5 --
09/16 10:25 AM -- -12.5 --
09/15 09:45 AM -- -12.5 --
09/14 06:25 PM -- -12.5 --
05/14 08:40 PM -8.5 -- --