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Make Tournament

77.2%

Automatic Bid

51.3%

At Large Bid

25.9%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (26.1%)

Final Four

1.2%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 54.0%
28 30.8%
OVERALL 77.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.7% 0.1%
4 2.6% 0.1%
5 10.9% 0.1%
6 26.1% 0.1%
7 21.3% 0.1%
8 9.8% 0.0%
9 3.9% 0.0%
10 1.3% 0.1%
11 0.4% 0.0%
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.