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Michigan at Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Feb 11, 2026 8:30 pm - Evanston, IL
Odds: Michigan by 15, Total Points: 154

Matchup Menu: MICH @ NW

More Games From Feb 11, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Northwestern +15.0 Official TR Pick Northwestern 53% odds to cover
Northwestern +15.0 Power Rating Model Northwestern 59% odds to cover
Northwestern +15.0 Similar Games Northwestern 52% odds to cover
Northwestern +15.0 Decision Tree Northwestern 53% odds to cover
Michigan -15.0 Predictive Ratings Michigan 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MICH adv NW
Season 19-21-0 16-16-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-15-0 11-11-1
Streak L1 W5
Last 5 4-1-0 5-0-0
Last 10 4-6-0 7-3-0
Home 8-7-0 7-9-0
Away 11-14-0 9-7-2

Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Oakland -24.5 W by 43 +18.5
11/11 Neutral Wake Forest -15.0 W by 1 -14.0
11/14 Away TCU -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/19 Home Middle Tenn -28.0 W by 25 -3.0
11/24 Neutral San Diego St -5.5 W by 40 +34.5
11/25 Neutral Auburn -5.0 W by 30 +25.0
11/26 Neutral Gonzaga +2.5 W by 40 +42.5
12/06 Home Rutgers -25.5 W by 41 +15.5
12/09 Home Villanova -18.0 W by 28 +10.0
12/13 Away Maryland -19.5 W by 18 -1.5
12/21 Home La Salle -40.5 W by 52 +11.5
12/29 Home McNeese -24.0 W by 41 +17.0
01/02 Home USC -22.5 W by 30 +7.5
01/06 Away Penn St -24.0 W by 2 -22.0
01/10 Home Wisconsin -19.0 L by 3 -22.0
01/14 Away Washington -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
01/17 Away Oregon -18.5 W by 10 -8.5
01/20 Home Indiana -15.5 W by 14 -1.5
01/23 Home Ohio St -16.5 W by 12 -4.5
01/27 Home Nebraska -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
01/30 Away Michigan St -2.5 W by 12 +9.5
02/05 Home Penn St -26.5 W by 41 +14.5
02/08 Away Ohio St -9.5 W by 21 +11.5
02/11 Away Northwestern -15.0 W by 12 -3.0
02/14 Home UCLA -16.5 W by 30 +13.5
02/17 Away Purdue -2.5 W by 11 +8.5
02/21 Neutral Duke -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
02/24 Home Minnesota -21.5 W by 10 -11.5
02/27 Away Illinois -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/05 Away Iowa -9.5 W by 3 -6.5
03/08 Home Michigan St -10.5 W by 10 -0.5
03/13 Neutral Ohio St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
03/14 Neutral Wisconsin -12.5 W by 3 -9.5
03/15 Neutral Purdue -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
03/19 Neutral Howard -30.5 W by 21 -9.5
03/21 Neutral Saint Louis -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
03/27 Neutral Alabama -9.5 W by 13 +3.5
03/29 Neutral Tennessee -8.5 W by 33 +24.5
04/04 Neutral Arizona -1.5 W by 18 +16.5
04/06 Neutral UConn -6.5 W by 6 -0.5

Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mercyhurst -26.5 W by 23 -3.5
11/07 Home Boston U -17.5 W by 24 +6.5
11/10 Home Cleveland St -23.0 W by 47 +24.0
11/14 Away DePaul -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/21 Neutral Virginia +5.0 L by 5 0.0
11/23 Neutral South Carolina -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/27 Neutral Oklahoma St -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
12/03 Away Wisconsin +11.0 L by 12 -1.0
12/06 Home Ohio St (Pick) L by 4 -4.0
12/13 Home Jackson St -30.5 W by 40 +9.5
12/16 Home Valparaiso -14.5 W by 16 +1.5
12/20 Neutral Butler +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
12/30 Home Howard -20.5 W by 20 -0.5
01/03 Home Minnesota -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
01/08 Away Michigan St +13.0 L by 10 +3.0
01/11 Away Rutgers -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
01/14 Home Illinois +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
01/17 Home Nebraska +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
01/21 Away USC +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/24 Away UCLA +7.0 L by 7 0.0
01/29 Home Penn St -7.0 W by 21 +14.0
01/31 Home Washington -1.5 L by 14 -15.5
02/04 Away Illinois +15.5 L by 40 -24.5
02/08 Away Iowa +11.0 L by 6 +5.0
02/11 Home Michigan +15.0 L by 12 +3.0
02/14 Away Nebraska +14.0 L by 19 -5.0
02/18 Home Maryland -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
02/24 Away Indiana +9.5 W by 4 +13.5
02/28 Home Oregon -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
03/04 Home Purdue +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
03/07 Away Minnesota +4.5 L by 1 +3.5
03/10 Neutral Penn St -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
03/11 Neutral Indiana +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
03/12 Neutral Purdue +13.5 L by 13 +0.5