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Utah Valley at Tarleton St: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 29, 2026 8:00 pm - Stephenville, TX
Odds: Utah Valley by 6, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: UVU @ TST

More Games From Jan 29, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU TST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UVU TST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.4 52.5
Field Goal % 52.0% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 62.1% 42.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 13.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 33.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 28.4 24.9
Free Throw % 68.5% 73.7%
Ball Control UVU TST
Rebounds 36.9 27.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 18.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.3
Turnovers 15.9 15.1
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.9
Steals 8.4 10.2
Fouls 18.2 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU TST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UVU TST
2 Point Attempt 36.8% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 15.3%
Player Fouled 25.9% 24.8%
Turnover 21.7% 20.6%
Opponent Steal 13.9% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU TST
Shot Blocked 5.7% 10.6%
Offensive Rebound 38.6% 26.7%