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Michigan at Penn St: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Jan 6, 2026 7:00 pm - University Park, PA
Odds: Michigan by 24, Total Points: 168.5

Matchup Menu: MICH @ PSU

More Games From Jan 6, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 167.0	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go over
Over 168.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go over
Over 167.0	Decision Tree	50% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MICH	PSU
Season	17-23-0	18-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-14-0	13-8-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 2
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	6-4-0	5-5-0
Home	6-9-0	9-8-0
Away	11-14-0	9-6-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Michigan Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Oakland	156.5	121-78	Over	+42.5
11/11	Neutral	Wake Forest	167.0	85-84	Over	+2.0
11/14	Away	TCU	163.5	67-63	Under	-33.5
11/19	Home	Middle Tenn	159.5	86-61	Under	-12.5
11/24	Neutral	San Diego St	149.5	94-54	Under	-1.5
11/25	Neutral	Auburn	163.5	102-72	Over	+10.5
11/26	Neutral	Gonzaga	165.5	101-61	Under	-3.5
12/06	Home	Rutgers	153.0	101-60	Over	+8.0
12/09	Home	Villanova	157.0	89-61	Under	-7.0
12/13	Away	Maryland	163.5	101-83	Over	+20.5
12/21	Home	La Salle	155.5	102-50	Under	-3.5
12/29	Home	McNeese	162.0	112-71	Over	+21.0
01/02	Home	USC	173.5	96-66	Under	-11.5
01/06	Away	Penn St	168.5	74-72	Under	-22.5
01/10	Home	Wisconsin	169.5	88-91	Over	+9.5
01/14	Away	Washington	165.5	82-72	Under	-11.5
01/17	Away	Oregon	157.5	81-71	Under	-5.5
01/20	Home	Indiana	163.5	86-72	Under	-5.5
01/23	Home	Ohio St	165.5	74-62	Under	-29.5
01/27	Home	Nebraska	157.0	75-72	Under	-10.0
01/30	Away	Michigan St	150.5	83-71	Over	+3.5
02/05	Home	Penn St	162.5	110-69	Over	+16.5
02/08	Away	Ohio St	161.5	82-61	Under	-18.5
02/11	Away	Northwestern	154.0	87-75	Over	+8.0
02/14	Home	UCLA	155.5	86-56	Under	-13.5
02/17	Away	Purdue	157.0	91-80	Over	+14.0
02/21	Neutral	Duke	150.5	63-68	Under	-19.5
02/24	Home	Minnesota	145.5	77-67	Under	-1.5
02/27	Away	Illinois	159.5	84-70	Under	-5.5
03/05	Away	Iowa	146.5	71-68	Under	-7.5
03/08	Home	Michigan St	152.5	90-80	Over	+17.5
03/13	Neutral	Ohio St	155.5	71-67	Under	-17.5
03/14	Neutral	Wisconsin	162.5	68-65	Under	-29.5
03/15	Neutral	Purdue	149.5	72-80	Over	+2.5
03/19	Neutral	Howard	151.5	101-80	Over	+29.5
03/21	Neutral	Saint Louis	161.5	95-72	Over	+5.5
03/27	Neutral	Alabama	172.5	90-77	Under	-5.5
03/29	Neutral	Tennessee	146.5	95-62	Over	+10.5
04/04	Neutral	Arizona	157.5	91-73	Over	+6.5
04/06	Neutral	UConn	146.5	69-63	Under	-14.5

Penn St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Fairfield	150.5	76-68	Under	-6.5
11/08	Away	New Haven	143.5	87-43	Under	-13.5
11/11	Home	Navy	154.5	80-71	Under	-3.5
11/15	Neutral	La Salle	145.5	83-69	Over	+6.5
11/19	Home	Harvard	142.5	84-80	Over	+21.5
11/22	Neutral	Providence	165.5	65-77	Under	-23.5
11/25	Home	Boston U	142.5	96-87	Over	+40.5
11/29	Home	Sacred Heart	160.5	90-59	Under	-11.5
12/02	Home	Campbell	154.5	87-76	Over	+8.5
12/09	Away	Indiana	152.5	72-113	Over	+32.5
12/13	Home	Michigan St	145.0	72-76	Over	+3.0
12/21	Neutral	Pittsburgh	146.5	46-80	Under	-20.5
12/29	Home	NC Central	150.5	90-67	Over	+6.5
01/03	Home	Illinois	156.5	65-73	Under	-18.5
01/06	Home	Michigan	168.5	72-74	Under	-22.5
01/10	Away	Purdue	152.5	85-93	Over	+25.5
01/14	Home	UCLA	148.5	60-71	Under	-17.5
01/18	Away	Maryland	148.0	73-96	Over	+21.0
01/22	Home	Wisconsin	160.0	71-98	Over	+9.0
01/26	Away	Ohio St	153.5	78-84	Over	+8.5
01/29	Away	Northwestern	147.5	73-94	Over	+19.5
02/01	Home	Minnesota	142.5	77-75	Over	+9.5
02/05	Away	Michigan	162.5	69-110	Over	+16.5
02/08	Home	USC	156.5	75-77	Under	-4.5
02/11	Away	Washington	154.0	63-60	Under	-31.0
02/14	Away	Oregon	147.0	72-83	Over	+8.0
02/18	Home	Rutgers	149.0	72-85	Over	+8.0
02/21	Away	Nebraska	148.5	64-87	Over	+2.5
02/28	Home	Iowa	143.5	71-69	Under	-3.5
03/04	Home	Ohio St	152.5	62-94	Over	+3.5
03/08	Away	Rutgers	150.5	62-74	Under	-14.5
03/10	Neutral	Northwestern	143.5	66-76	Under	-1.5