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NC State at SMU: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Feb 3, 2026 9:00 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Pick'em (0), Total Points: 159.5

Matchup Menu: NCST @ SMU

More Games From Feb 3, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 159.5	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go under
Under 159.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go under
Over 159.5	Similar Games	57% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	NCST	SMU
Season	21-13-0	21-12-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	14-6-0	12-7-1
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-3-1
Home	8-8-0	10-8-0
Away	13-5-0	11-4-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

NC State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	NC Central	145.0	114-66	Over	+35.0
11/07	Home	UAB	162.5	94-70	Over	+1.5
11/12	Home	NC Greensboro	153.5	110-64	Over	+20.5
11/17	Home	VCU	164.5	85-79	Under	-0.5
11/24	Neutral	Seton Hall	143.5	74-85	Over	+15.5
11/25	Neutral	Boise St	154.0	81-70	Under	-3.0
11/26	Neutral	Texas	161.5	97-102	Over	+37.5
12/03	Away	Auburn	162.5	73-83	Under	-6.5
12/06	Home	NC Asheville	155.5	75-63	Under	-17.5
12/10	Home	Liberty	149.5	85-45	Under	-19.5
12/13	Home	Kansas	148.5	76-77	Over	+4.5
12/17	Neutral	Texas So	152.5	108-72	Over	+27.5
12/21	Neutral	Mississippi	148.5	76-62	Under	-10.5
12/31	Home	Wake Forest	159.5	70-57	Under	-32.5
01/03	Home	Virginia	151.5	61-76	Under	-14.5
01/06	Away	Boston College	142.0	79-71	Over	+8.0
01/10	Away	Florida St	160.0	113-69	Over	+22.0
01/17	Home	Georgia Tech	154.5	74-78	Under	-2.5
01/20	Away	Clemson	142.0	80-76	Over	+14.0
01/24	Away	Pittsburgh	146.0	81-72	Over	+7.0
01/27	Home	Syracuse	151.5	88-68	Over	+4.5
01/31	Away	Wake Forest	154.5	96-78	Over	+19.5
02/03	Away	SMU	159.5	84-83	Over	+7.5
02/07	Home	Virginia Tech	152.0	82-73	Over	+3.0
02/09	Away	Louisville	161.5	77-118	Over	+33.5
02/14	Home	Miami	158.0	76-77	Under	-5.0
02/17	Home	North Carolina	155.5	82-58	Under	-15.5
02/24	Away	Virginia	152.5	61-90	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Notre Dame	154.5	90-96	Over	+31.5
03/02	Home	Duke	150.5	64-93	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Stanford	152.5	84-85	Over	+16.5
03/11	Neutral	Pittsburgh	144.5	98-88	Over	+41.5
03/12	Neutral	Virginia	153.5	74-81	Over	+1.5
03/17	Neutral	Texas	158.5	66-68	Under	-24.5

SMU Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Tarleton St	145.0	96-76	Over	+27.0
11/06	Home	Texas A&M-CC	160.5	69-58	Under	-33.5
11/11	Home	Murray St	164.5	102-91	Over	+28.5
11/15	Home	Butler	164.0	87-85	Over	+8.0
11/18	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	168.5	106-60	Under	-2.5
11/21	Home	Arkansas St	172.5	100-69	Under	-3.5
11/24	Home	Radford	165.5	89-72	Under	-4.5
11/28	Away	Mississippi St	162.5	87-81	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Vanderbilt	165.5	69-88	Under	-8.5
12/07	Neutral	Texas A&M	164.0	93-80	Over	+9.0
12/13	Neutral	LSU	158.5	77-89	Over	+7.5
12/21	Home	C Arkansas	157.0	99-82	Over	+24.0
12/28	Home	CS Fullerton	170.5	110-63	Over	+2.5
01/03	Home	North Carolina	155.5	97-83	Over	+24.5
01/07	Away	Clemson	149.5	70-74	Under	-5.5
01/10	Away	Duke	156.0	75-82	Over	+1.0
01/14	Home	Virginia Tech	156.5	77-76	Under	-3.5
01/17	Home	Virginia	153.0	68-72	Under	-13.0
01/20	Away	Wake Forest	157.5	91-79	Over	+12.5
01/24	Home	Florida St	164.5	83-80	Under	-1.5
01/31	Away	Louisville	161.5	74-88	Over	+0.5
02/03	Home	NC State	159.5	83-84	Over	+7.5
02/07	Away	Pittsburgh	147.5	86-67	Over	+5.5
02/10	Home	Notre Dame	154.0	89-81	Over	+16.0
02/14	Away	Syracuse	157.0	78-79	Push	0.0
02/17	Home	Louisville	168.0	95-85	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Boston College	150.5	94-70	Over	+13.5
02/25	Away	California	163.5	69-73	Under	-21.5
02/28	Away	Stanford	155.5	75-95	Over	+14.5
03/04	Home	Miami	156.5	69-77	Under	-10.5
03/07	Away	Florida St	158.5	78-91	Over	+10.5
03/10	Neutral	Syracuse	154.5	86-69	Over	+0.5
03/11	Neutral	Louisville	164.5	58-62	Under	-44.5
03/18	Neutral	Miami OH	161.5	79-89	Over	+6.5