NC State at Louisville: Recap

Monday Feb 9, 2026 7:00 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Louisville by 7.5, Total Points: 161.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Louisville NCST 21.3%
LOU 78.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
LOU -7.5 NCST 45.0%
LOU 55.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 161.5 Over 49.6%
Under 50.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
LOU -330 NCST -5.9%
LOU +1.9%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
NCST 76.2 77.0 77
LOU 85.1 84.5 118

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat NCST LOU
Points/Game 83.7 84.8
Avg Score Margin +7.2 +12.6
Assists/Game 15.6 17.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 34.5 38.5
Effective FG % 55.3% 56.4%
Off Rebound % 26.9% 31.6%
FTA/FGA 0.352 0.335
Turnover % 11.5% 14.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat NCST LOU
Opp Points/Game 76.5 72.2
Opp Effective FG % 53.1% 48.8%
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.7 10.0
Def Rebounds/Gm 22.8 26.1
Blocks/Game 3.4 3.3
Steals/Game 8.1 6.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.1 18.4