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Northwestern at USC: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Jan 21, 2026 11:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: USC by 6.5, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: NW @ USC

More Games From Jan 21, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Northwestern +6.5 Official TR Pick Northwestern 54% odds to cover
Northwestern +6.5 Power Rating Model Northwestern 54% odds to cover
Northwestern +6.5 Decision Tree Northwestern 55% odds to cover
Northwestern +6.5 Predictive Ratings Northwestern 54% odds to cover
USC -6.5 Similar Games USC 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record NW adv USC
Season 16-16-2 13-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-11-1 8-13-0
Streak W5 L7
Last 5 5-0-0 0-5-0
Last 10 7-3-0 2-8-0
Home 7-9-0 6-9-0
Away 9-7-2 7-9-0

Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mercyhurst -26.5 W by 23 -3.5
11/07 Home Boston U -17.5 W by 24 +6.5
11/10 Home Cleveland St -23.0 W by 47 +24.0
11/14 Away DePaul -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/21 Neutral Virginia +5.0 L by 5 0.0
11/23 Neutral South Carolina -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/27 Neutral Oklahoma St -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
12/03 Away Wisconsin +11.0 L by 12 -1.0
12/06 Home Ohio St (Pick) L by 4 -4.0
12/13 Home Jackson St -30.5 W by 40 +9.5
12/16 Home Valparaiso -14.5 W by 16 +1.5
12/20 Neutral Butler +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
12/30 Home Howard -20.5 W by 20 -0.5
01/03 Home Minnesota -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
01/08 Away Michigan St +13.0 L by 10 +3.0
01/11 Away Rutgers -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
01/14 Home Illinois +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
01/17 Home Nebraska +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
01/21 Away USC +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/24 Away UCLA +7.0 L by 7 0.0
01/29 Home Penn St -7.0 W by 21 +14.0
01/31 Home Washington -1.5 L by 14 -15.5
02/04 Away Illinois +15.5 L by 40 -24.5
02/08 Away Iowa +11.0 L by 6 +5.0
02/11 Home Michigan +15.0 L by 12 +3.0
02/14 Away Nebraska +14.0 L by 19 -5.0
02/18 Home Maryland -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
02/24 Away Indiana +9.5 W by 4 +13.5
02/28 Home Oregon -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
03/04 Home Purdue +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
03/07 Away Minnesota +4.5 L by 1 +3.5
03/10 Neutral Penn St -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
03/11 Neutral Indiana +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
03/12 Neutral Purdue +13.5 L by 13 +0.5

USC Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Cal Poly -25.0 W by 30 +5.0
11/09 Home Manhattan -28.0 W by 31 +3.0
11/14 Neutral Illinois St -15.5 W by 20 +4.5
11/20 Home Troy -17.5 W by 1 -16.5
11/24 Neutral Boise St -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
11/25 Neutral Seton Hall -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/26 Neutral Arizona St -5.0 W by 13 +8.0
12/02 Away Oregon -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
12/06 Home Washington -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
12/09 Away San Diego -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
12/14 Home Washington St -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
12/17 Home UTSA -25.5 W by 27 +1.5
12/21 Home UC Santa Cruz -- W by 39 --
01/02 Away Michigan +22.5 L by 30 -7.5
01/05 Away Michigan St +12.0 L by 29 -17.0
01/09 Away Minnesota +3.5 W by 1 +4.5
01/13 Home Maryland -9.5 W by 17 +7.5
01/17 Home Purdue +9.0 L by 5 +4.0
01/21 Home Northwestern -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
01/25 Away Wisconsin +8.0 W by 2 +10.0
01/28 Away Iowa +9.0 L by 1 +8.0
01/31 Home Rutgers -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
02/03 Home Indiana +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
02/08 Away Penn St -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
02/11 Away Ohio St +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/18 Home Illinois +10.0 L by 36 -26.0
02/21 Home Oregon -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
02/24 Away UCLA +6.5 L by 19 -12.5
02/28 Home Nebraska +5.5 L by 15 -9.5
03/04 Away Washington +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
03/07 Home UCLA +4.5 L by 21 -16.5
03/11 Neutral Washington +3.5 L by 4 -0.5