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Northwestern at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Jan 8, 2026 6:30 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan State by 13, Total Points: 144

Matchup Menu: NW @ MSU

More Games From Jan 8, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Northwestern +13.0 Official TR Pick Northwestern 50% odds to cover
Northwestern +13.0 Similar Games Northwestern 52% odds to cover
Northwestern +13.0 Decision Tree Northwestern 50% odds to cover
Northwestern +13.0 Predictive Ratings Northwestern 53% odds to cover
Michigan St -13.0 Power Rating Model Michigan St 50% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record NW adv MSU
Season 16-16-2 17-16-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-11-1 11-9-1
Streak W5 L1
Last 5 5-0-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 6-4-0
Home 7-9-0 7-9-1
Away 9-7-2 10-7-1

Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mercyhurst -26.5 W by 23 -3.5
11/07 Home Boston U -17.5 W by 24 +6.5
11/10 Home Cleveland St -23.0 W by 47 +24.0
11/14 Away DePaul -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/21 Neutral Virginia +5.0 L by 5 0.0
11/23 Neutral South Carolina -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/27 Neutral Oklahoma St -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
12/03 Away Wisconsin +11.0 L by 12 -1.0
12/06 Home Ohio St (Pick) L by 4 -4.0
12/13 Home Jackson St -30.5 W by 40 +9.5
12/16 Home Valparaiso -14.5 W by 16 +1.5
12/20 Neutral Butler +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
12/30 Home Howard -20.5 W by 20 -0.5
01/03 Home Minnesota -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
01/08 Away Michigan St +13.0 L by 10 +3.0
01/11 Away Rutgers -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
01/14 Home Illinois +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
01/17 Home Nebraska +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
01/21 Away USC +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/24 Away UCLA +7.0 L by 7 0.0
01/29 Home Penn St -7.0 W by 21 +14.0
01/31 Home Washington -1.5 L by 14 -15.5
02/04 Away Illinois +15.5 L by 40 -24.5
02/08 Away Iowa +11.0 L by 6 +5.0
02/11 Home Michigan +15.0 L by 12 +3.0
02/14 Away Nebraska +14.0 L by 19 -5.0
02/18 Home Maryland -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
02/24 Away Indiana +9.5 W by 4 +13.5
02/28 Home Oregon -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
03/04 Home Purdue +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
03/07 Away Minnesota +4.5 L by 1 +3.5
03/10 Neutral Penn St -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
03/11 Neutral Indiana +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
03/12 Neutral Purdue +13.5 L by 13 +0.5

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Colgate -22.0 W by 11 -11.0
11/08 Home Arkansas -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
11/13 Home San Jose St -24.5 W by 19 -5.5
11/18 Neutral Kentucky +3.5 W by 17 +20.5
11/21 Home Detroit Mercy -30.5 W by 28 -2.5
11/25 Neutral E Carolina -20.0 W by 33 +13.0
11/27 Neutral North Carolina -1.0 W by 16 +15.0
12/02 Home Iowa -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
12/06 Home Duke +1.0 L by 6 -5.0
12/13 Away Penn St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
12/16 Home Toledo -23.0 W by 23 0.0
12/20 Neutral Oakland -20.0 W by 9 -11.0
12/29 Home Cornell -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
01/02 Away Nebraska +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/05 Home USC -12.0 W by 29 +17.0
01/08 Home Northwestern -13.0 W by 10 -3.0
01/13 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 21 +14.5
01/17 Away Washington -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
01/20 Away Oregon -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
01/24 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 43 +24.5
01/27 Away Rutgers -14.5 W by 9 -5.5
01/30 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
02/04 Away Minnesota -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
02/07 Home Illinois -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/13 Away Wisconsin -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
02/17 Home UCLA -8.0 W by 23 +15.0
02/22 Home Ohio St -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
02/26 Away Purdue +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
03/01 Away Indiana -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
03/05 Home Rutgers -19.5 W by 4 -15.5
03/08 Away Michigan +10.5 L by 10 +0.5
03/13 Neutral UCLA -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
03/19 Neutral N Dakota St -15.5 W by 25 +9.5
03/21 Neutral Louisville -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/27 Neutral UConn +2.5 L by 4 -1.5