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Northwestern at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Mar 7, 2026 9:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 4.5, Total Points: 133.5

Matchup Menu: NW @ MINN

More Games From Mar 7, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Minnesota -4.5 Official TR Pick Minnesota 52% odds to cover
Minnesota -4.5 Decision Tree Minnesota 52% odds to cover
Northwestern +4.5 Power Rating Model Northwestern 60% odds to cover
Northwestern +4.5 Similar Games Northwestern 53% odds to cover
Northwestern +4.5 Predictive Ratings Northwestern 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record NW adv MINN
Season 16-16-2 14-18-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-11-1 10-10-1
Streak W5 L4
Last 5 5-0-0 1-4-0
Last 10 7-3-0 4-6-0
Home 7-9-0 9-8-0
Away 9-7-2 5-10-1

Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mercyhurst -26.5 W by 23 -3.5
11/07 Home Boston U -17.5 W by 24 +6.5
11/10 Home Cleveland St -23.0 W by 47 +24.0
11/14 Away DePaul -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/21 Neutral Virginia +5.0 L by 5 0.0
11/23 Neutral South Carolina -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/27 Neutral Oklahoma St -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
12/03 Away Wisconsin +11.0 L by 12 -1.0
12/06 Home Ohio St (Pick) L by 4 -4.0
12/13 Home Jackson St -30.5 W by 40 +9.5
12/16 Home Valparaiso -14.5 W by 16 +1.5
12/20 Neutral Butler +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
12/30 Home Howard -20.5 W by 20 -0.5
01/03 Home Minnesota -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
01/08 Away Michigan St +13.0 L by 10 +3.0
01/11 Away Rutgers -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
01/14 Home Illinois +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
01/17 Home Nebraska +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
01/21 Away USC +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/24 Away UCLA +7.0 L by 7 0.0
01/29 Home Penn St -7.0 W by 21 +14.0
01/31 Home Washington -1.5 L by 14 -15.5
02/04 Away Illinois +15.5 L by 40 -24.5
02/08 Away Iowa +11.0 L by 6 +5.0
02/11 Home Michigan +15.0 L by 12 +3.0
02/14 Away Nebraska +14.0 L by 19 -5.0
02/18 Home Maryland -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
02/24 Away Indiana +9.5 W by 4 +13.5
02/28 Home Oregon -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
03/04 Home Purdue +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
03/07 Away Minnesota +4.5 L by 1 +3.5
03/10 Neutral Penn St -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
03/11 Neutral Indiana +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
03/12 Neutral Purdue +13.5 L by 13 +0.5

Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Gardner-Webb -26.0 W by 27 +1.0
11/08 Home Alcorn St -31.0 W by 45 +14.0
11/12 Away Missouri +7.5 L by 23 -15.5
11/15 Home Green Bay -25.5 W by 7 -18.5
11/18 Home Chicago St -28.0 W by 12 -16.0
11/22 Neutral San Francisco -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
11/27 Neutral Stanford +2.5 L by 4 -1.5
11/28 Neutral Santa Clara +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
12/03 Home Indiana +8.0 W by 9 +17.0
12/10 Away Purdue +20.0 L by 28 -8.0
12/14 Home Texas So -21.0 W by 36 +15.0
12/21 Home Campbell -13.5 W by 28 +14.5
12/29 Home F Dickinson -25.5 W by 17 -8.5
01/03 Away Northwestern +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
01/06 Home Iowa +5.0 W by 3 +8.0
01/09 Home USC -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
01/13 Home Wisconsin +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
01/17 Away Illinois +15.0 L by 10 +5.0
01/20 Away Ohio St +8.0 L by 8 0.0
01/24 Home Nebraska +5.0 L by 19 -14.0
01/28 Away Wisconsin +9.5 L by 4 +5.5
02/01 Away Penn St -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
02/04 Home Michigan St +8.5 W by 3 +11.5
02/08 Home Maryland -10.0 L by 5 -15.0
02/14 Away Washington +6.5 L by 12 -5.5
02/17 Away Oregon +3.0 W by 17 +20.0
02/21 Home Rutgers -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
02/24 Away Michigan +21.5 L by 10 +11.5
02/28 Home UCLA +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
03/04 Away Indiana +6.5 L by 30 -23.5
03/07 Home Northwestern -4.5 W by 1 -3.5
03/11 Neutral Rutgers -6.5 L by 5 -11.5
04/01 Neutral Baylor +3.5 L by 19 -15.5