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Northwestern vs. Virginia: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Nov 21, 2025 5:00 pm - White Sulpher Springs, WV (Neutral Site)
Odds: Virginia by 5, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: NW vs. UVA

More Games From Nov 21, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Virginia -3.5 Official TR Pick Virginia 54% odds to cover
Virginia -3.5 Power Rating Model Virginia 66% odds to cover
Virginia -3.5 Similar Games Virginia 57% odds to cover
Virginia -3.5 Decision Tree Virginia 55% odds to cover
Northwestern +3.5 Predictive Ratings Northwestern 57% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record NW adv UVA
Season 16-16-2 17-17-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-11-1 11-10-0
Streak W5 L2
Last 5 5-0-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 4-6-0
Home 7-9-0 8-8-1
Away 9-7-2 9-9-1

Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mercyhurst -26.5 W by 23 -3.5
11/07 Home Boston U -17.5 W by 24 +6.5
11/10 Home Cleveland St -23.0 W by 47 +24.0
11/14 Away DePaul -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/21 Neutral Virginia +5.0 L by 5 0.0
11/23 Neutral South Carolina -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/27 Neutral Oklahoma St -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
12/03 Away Wisconsin +11.0 L by 12 -1.0
12/06 Home Ohio St (Pick) L by 4 -4.0
12/13 Home Jackson St -30.5 W by 40 +9.5
12/16 Home Valparaiso -14.5 W by 16 +1.5
12/20 Neutral Butler +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
12/30 Home Howard -20.5 W by 20 -0.5
01/03 Home Minnesota -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
01/08 Away Michigan St +13.0 L by 10 +3.0
01/11 Away Rutgers -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
01/14 Home Illinois +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
01/17 Home Nebraska +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
01/21 Away USC +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/24 Away UCLA +7.0 L by 7 0.0
01/29 Home Penn St -7.0 W by 21 +14.0
01/31 Home Washington -1.5 L by 14 -15.5
02/04 Away Illinois +15.5 L by 40 -24.5
02/08 Away Iowa +11.0 L by 6 +5.0
02/11 Home Michigan +15.0 L by 12 +3.0
02/14 Away Nebraska +14.0 L by 19 -5.0
02/18 Home Maryland -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
02/24 Away Indiana +9.5 W by 4 +13.5
02/28 Home Oregon -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
03/04 Home Purdue +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
03/07 Away Minnesota +4.5 L by 1 +3.5
03/10 Neutral Penn St -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
03/11 Neutral Indiana +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
03/12 Neutral Purdue +13.5 L by 13 +0.5

Virginia Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Rider -26.5 W by 34 +7.5
11/07 Home NC Central -34.0 W by 19 -15.0
11/11 Home Hampton -24.0 W by 38 +14.0
11/15 Home Marshall -20.5 W by 26 +5.5
11/21 Neutral Northwestern -5.0 W by 5 0.0
11/23 Neutral Butler -7.0 L by 7 -14.0
11/28 Home Queens -25.0 W by 25 0.0
12/03 Away Texas +3.0 W by 19 +22.0
12/06 Neutral Dayton -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
12/09 Home Maryland ES -36.5 W by 24 -12.5
12/20 Home Maryland -16.5 W by 8 -8.5
12/22 Home American -27.5 W by 44 +16.5
12/31 Away Virginia Tech -6.0 L by 10 -16.0
01/03 Away NC State +4.0 W by 15 +19.0
01/07 Home California -14.0 W by 24 +10.0
01/10 Home Stanford -12.5 W by 15 +2.5
01/13 Away Louisville +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/17 Away SMU -2.0 W by 4 +2.0
01/24 Home North Carolina -6.5 L by 5 -11.5
01/27 Away Notre Dame -9.5 W by 3 -6.5
01/31 Away Boston College -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
02/03 Home Pittsburgh -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
02/07 Home Syracuse -14.0 W by 13 -1.0
02/10 Away Florida St -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/14 Neutral Ohio St -5.0 W by 4 -1.0
02/18 Away Georgia Tech -13.0 W by 26 +13.0
02/21 Home Miami -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
02/24 Home NC State -6.5 W by 29 +22.5
02/28 Away Duke +9.5 L by 26 -16.5
03/03 Home Wake Forest -14.5 W by 5 -9.5
03/07 Home Virginia Tech -11.5 W by 4 -7.5
03/12 Neutral NC State -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/13 Neutral Miami -3.5 W by 22 +18.5
03/14 Neutral Duke +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
03/20 Neutral Wright St -17.5 W by 9 -8.5
03/22 Neutral Tennessee +1.5 L by 7 -5.5