This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Abl Christian at Texas St: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 18, 2025 8:00 pm - San Marcos, TX
Odds: Texas State by 1.5, Total Points: 138.5

Matchup Menu: ACU @ TXST

More Games From Nov 18, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ACU TXST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ACU TXST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 49.4 46.0
Field Goal % 45.2% 53.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 8.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 39.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 25.0
Free Throw % 70.0% 75.7%
Ball Control ACU TXST
Rebounds 25.9 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 18.2 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 6.8
Turnovers 14.0 16.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.0
Steals 10.2 9.1
Fouls 18.0 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ACU TXST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ACU TXST
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 10.8%
Player Fouled 25.9% 25.4%
Turnover 19.8% 22.8%
Opponent Steal 12.8% 14.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ACU TXST
Shot Blocked 8.9% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 27.2%