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Merrimack at Canisius: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Feb 27, 2026 7:00 pm - Buffalo, NY
Odds: Merrimack by 8.5, Total Points: 129.5

Matchup Menu: MW @ CAN

More Games From Feb 27, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 129.5	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go over
Over 129.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go over
Over 129.5	Decision Tree	55% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MW	CAN
Season	12-22-0	8-21-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	8-15-0	6-14-0
Streak	Un 3	Un 3
Last 5	1-4-0	1-4-0
Last 10	4-6-0	3-7-0
Home	5-6-0	5-8-0
Away	7-16-0	3-13-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Merrimack Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Neutral	S Dakota St	144.5	66-75	Under	-3.5
11/06	Away	Auburn	147.0	57-95	Over	+5.0
11/11	Away	Tarleton St	142.5	62-76	Under	-4.5
11/15	Away	Boston U	135.5	91-79	Over	+34.5
11/19	Home	Maine	130.5	72-65	Over	+6.5
11/21	Away	Florida	158.5	45-80	Under	-33.5
11/28	Away	Penn	152.5	65-77	Under	-10.5
11/29	Neutral	Hofstra	135.5	58-78	Over	+0.5
11/30	Neutral	La Salle	132.0	66-60	Under	-6.0
12/04	Home	Rider	139.0	68-66	Under	-5.0
12/07	Home	Fairfield	145.0	74-63	Under	-8.0
12/10	Away	Princeton	135.0	59-56	Under	-20.0
12/14	Away	Vermont	135.5	59-66	Under	-10.5
12/29	Away	Sacred Heart	144.5	80-72	Over	+7.5
01/02	Home	Mt St Mary's	141.0	75-65	Under	-1.0
01/04	Home	Manhattan	148.5	73-66	Under	-9.5
01/09	Away	Siena	133.5	63-59	Under	-11.5
01/11	Away	Saint Peter's	133.5	63-76	Over	+5.5
01/17	Home	Quinnipiac	142.0	83-71	Over	+12.0
01/19	Away	Marist	133.0	68-55	Under	-10.0
01/22	Away	Iona	141.0	60-61	Under	-20.0
01/24	Home	Saint Peter's	133.5	67-59	Under	-7.5
02/01	Home	Sacred Heart	145.5	75-58	Under	-12.5
02/05	Away	Mt St Mary's	135.5	87-70	Over	+21.5
02/07	Away	Rider	137.0	73-47	Under	-17.0
02/12	Home	Marist	128.5	81-56	Over	+8.5
02/15	Away	Quinnipiac	141.5	56-49	Under	-36.5
02/20	Home	Siena	133.5	79-72	Over	+17.5
02/22	Home	Iona	136.5	88-86	Over	+37.5
02/27	Away	Canisius	129.5	62-67	Under	-0.5
03/01	Away	Niagara	126.5	73-66	Over	+12.5
03/06	Neutral	Sacred Heart	143.5	70-48	Under	-25.5
03/08	Neutral	Marist	128.5	58-57	Under	-13.5
03/10	Neutral	Siena	128.5	54-64	Under	-10.5

Canisius Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Dayton	142.0	48-88	Under	-6.0
11/06	Home	Allegheny	--	84-43	Under	--
11/08	Away	St Bonaventure	136.5	70-89	Over	+22.5
11/12	Home	Mercyhurst	135.5	58-55	Under	-22.5
11/17	Away	High Point	151.5	50-93	Under	-8.5
11/21	Home	Maryland ES	128.0	60-57	Under	-11.0
11/23	Home	Binghamton	--	75-66	Under	--
11/29	Home	Buffalo	139.0	53-71	Under	-15.0
12/05	Away	Saint Peter's	129.5	57-69	Under	-3.5
12/07	Away	Siena	131.5	52-74	Under	-5.5
12/13	Away	Maine	126.5	70-43	Under	-13.5
12/16	Away	Rhode Island	138.5	45-62	Under	-31.5
12/22	Away	Duquesne	143.5	59-103	Over	+18.5
01/02	Home	Fairfield	140.5	85-81	Over	+25.5
01/04	Home	Sacred Heart	142.5	82-78	Over	+17.5
01/09	Away	Manhattan	146.5	70-64	Under	-12.5
01/11	Away	Iona	141.5	48-74	Under	-19.5
01/14	Home	Niagara	126.5	54-59	Under	-13.5
01/17	Home	Mt St Mary's	136.0	68-78	Over	+10.0
01/22	Away	Sacred Heart	144.0	66-69	Under	-9.0
01/24	Away	Fairfield	142.5	55-61	Under	-26.5
01/30	Home	Marist	128.5	86-88	Over	+45.5
02/01	Home	Siena	135.5	63-78	Over	+5.5
02/03	Away	Niagara	127.0	56-65	Under	-6.0
02/05	Away	Quinnipiac	142.0	60-75	Under	-7.0
02/13	Home	Iona	138.0	63-69	Under	-6.0
02/15	Home	Manhattan	140.5	65-69	Under	-6.5
02/20	Away	Rider	131.5	72-66	Over	+6.5
02/22	Away	Mt St Mary's	137.5	47-68	Under	-22.5
02/27	Home	Merrimack	129.5	67-62	Under	-0.5
03/01	Home	Quinnipiac	138.5	63-67	Under	-8.5