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Merrimack at Florida: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Nov 21, 2025 7:00 pm - Gainesville, FL
Odds: Florida by 36.5, Total Points: 158.5

Matchup Menu: MW @ FLA

More Games From Nov 21, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 158.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go over
Over 158.5	Similar Games	62% odds to go over
Over 158.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MW	FLA
Season	12-22-0	14-20-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	8-15-0	8-11-1
Streak	Un 3	Un 1
Last 5	1-4-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	5-5-0
Home	5-6-0	6-8-1
Away	7-16-0	8-12-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Merrimack Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Neutral	S Dakota St	144.5	66-75	Under	-3.5
11/06	Away	Auburn	147.0	57-95	Over	+5.0
11/11	Away	Tarleton St	142.5	62-76	Under	-4.5
11/15	Away	Boston U	135.5	91-79	Over	+34.5
11/19	Home	Maine	130.5	72-65	Over	+6.5
11/21	Away	Florida	158.5	45-80	Under	-33.5
11/28	Away	Penn	152.5	65-77	Under	-10.5
11/29	Neutral	Hofstra	135.5	58-78	Over	+0.5
11/30	Neutral	La Salle	132.0	66-60	Under	-6.0
12/04	Home	Rider	139.0	68-66	Under	-5.0
12/07	Home	Fairfield	145.0	74-63	Under	-8.0
12/10	Away	Princeton	135.0	59-56	Under	-20.0
12/14	Away	Vermont	135.5	59-66	Under	-10.5
12/29	Away	Sacred Heart	144.5	80-72	Over	+7.5
01/02	Home	Mt St Mary's	141.0	75-65	Under	-1.0
01/04	Home	Manhattan	148.5	73-66	Under	-9.5
01/09	Away	Siena	133.5	63-59	Under	-11.5
01/11	Away	Saint Peter's	133.5	63-76	Over	+5.5
01/17	Home	Quinnipiac	142.0	83-71	Over	+12.0
01/19	Away	Marist	133.0	68-55	Under	-10.0
01/22	Away	Iona	141.0	60-61	Under	-20.0
01/24	Home	Saint Peter's	133.5	67-59	Under	-7.5
02/01	Home	Sacred Heart	145.5	75-58	Under	-12.5
02/05	Away	Mt St Mary's	135.5	87-70	Over	+21.5
02/07	Away	Rider	137.0	73-47	Under	-17.0
02/12	Home	Marist	128.5	81-56	Over	+8.5
02/15	Away	Quinnipiac	141.5	56-49	Under	-36.5
02/20	Home	Siena	133.5	79-72	Over	+17.5
02/22	Home	Iona	136.5	88-86	Over	+37.5
02/27	Away	Canisius	129.5	62-67	Under	-0.5
03/01	Away	Niagara	126.5	73-66	Over	+12.5
03/06	Neutral	Sacred Heart	143.5	70-48	Under	-25.5
03/08	Neutral	Marist	128.5	58-57	Under	-13.5
03/10	Neutral	Siena	128.5	54-64	Under	-10.5

Florida Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Neutral	Arizona	163.5	87-93	Over	+16.5
11/06	Home	N Florida	169.0	104-64	Under	-1.0
11/11	Home	Florida St	180.5	78-76	Under	-26.5
11/16	Neutral	Miami	171.5	82-68	Under	-21.5
11/21	Home	Merrimack	158.5	80-45	Under	-33.5
11/27	Neutral	TCU	155.5	80-84	Over	+8.5
11/28	Neutral	Providence	168.5	90-78	Under	-0.5
12/02	Away	Duke	157.5	66-67	Under	-24.5
12/09	Neutral	UConn	145.5	73-77	Over	+4.5
12/13	Neutral	G Washington	163.0	80-70	Under	-13.0
12/17	Home	St Francis PA	156.5	102-61	Over	+6.5
12/21	Home	Colgate	156.5	90-60	Under	-6.5
12/29	Home	Dartmouth	160.5	94-72	Over	+5.5
01/03	Away	Missouri	154.5	74-76	Under	-4.5
01/06	Home	Georgia	173.0	92-77	Under	-4.0
01/10	Home	Tennessee	151.5	91-67	Over	+6.5
01/13	Away	Oklahoma	157.5	96-79	Over	+17.5
01/17	Away	Vanderbilt	165.0	98-94	Over	+27.0
01/20	Home	LSU	158.5	79-61	Under	-18.5
01/24	Home	Auburn	162.5	67-76	Under	-19.5
01/28	Away	South Carolina	152.0	95-48	Under	-9.0
02/01	Home	Alabama	177.0	100-77	Push	0.0
02/07	Away	Texas A&M	167.0	86-67	Under	-14.0
02/11	Away	Georgia	165.0	86-66	Under	-13.0
02/14	Home	Kentucky	155.0	92-83	Over	+20.0
02/17	Home	South Carolina	154.5	76-62	Under	-16.5
02/21	Away	Mississippi	151.0	94-75	Over	+18.0
02/25	Away	Texas	158.5	84-71	Under	-3.5
02/28	Home	Arkansas	168.5	111-77	Over	+19.5
03/03	Home	Mississippi St	161.5	108-74	Over	+20.5
03/07	Away	Kentucky	162.5	84-77	Under	-1.5
03/13	Neutral	Kentucky	160.5	71-63	Under	-26.5
03/14	Neutral	Vanderbilt	161.5	74-91	Over	+3.5
03/20	Neutral	Prairie View	152.5	114-55	Over	+16.5
03/22	Neutral	Iowa	145.5	72-73	Under	-0.5