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Little Rock at Tennessee St: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Jan 29, 2026 8:30 pm - Nashville, TN
Odds: Tennessee State by 4.5, Total Points: 150

Matchup Menu: UALR @ TNST

More Games From Jan 29, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 152.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go over
Over 152.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go over
Under 152.5	Similar Games	50% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UALR	TNST
Season	15-15-0	14-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-10-0	11-11-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 2
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	4-6-0
Home	7-4-0	5-5-0
Away	8-11-0	9-11-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Little Rock Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Arkansas Baptist	--	92-63	Under	--
11/10	Away	Milwaukee	157.0	72-92	Over	+7.0
11/12	Away	Marquette	155.0	49-89	Under	-17.0
11/15	Away	Ball St	146.5	68-62	Under	-16.5
11/18	Away	Murray St	153.5	68-89	Over	+3.5
11/21	Away	Texas St	130.5	56-65	Under	-9.5
11/29	Away	S Illinois	141.5	65-74	Under	-2.5
12/03	Away	C Arkansas	138.0	47-85	Under	-6.0
12/06	Home	Arkansas St	147.5	78-90	Over	+20.5
12/09	Away	West Virginia	132.0	58-90	Over	+16.0
12/16	Away	Morehead St	137.0	64-78	Over	+5.0
12/18	Away	S Indiana	140.5	77-62	Under	-1.5
12/22	Home	Williams Baptist College	--	98-84	Under	--
01/01	Home	Tenn Tech	143.5	77-58	Under	-8.5
01/03	Home	Tennessee St	145.0	79-84	Over	+18.0
01/08	Away	SIU Edward	131.5	73-70	Over	+11.5
01/10	Away	Lindenwood	149.0	82-74	Over	+7.0
01/15	Home	E Illinois	134.5	74-63	Over	+2.5
01/17	Home	W Illinois	135.5	86-79	Over	+29.5
01/22	Away	SE Missouri St	147.5	65-70	Under	-12.5
01/29	Away	Tennessee St	150.0	63-70	Under	-17.0
01/31	Away	Tenn Tech	141.5	77-87	Over	+22.5
02/03	Away	UT Martin	139.0	52-55	Under	-32.0
02/05	Home	Lindenwood	149.5	74-79	Over	+3.5
02/07	Home	SIU Edward	132.5	61-71	Under	-0.5
02/12	Away	W Illinois	141.5	77-58	Under	-6.5
02/14	Away	E Illinois	135.0	72-78	Over	+15.0
02/19	Home	UT Martin	136.5	67-65	Under	-4.5
02/21	Home	SE Missouri St	143.5	65-70	Under	-8.5
02/26	Home	Morehead St	138.5	70-76	Over	+7.5
02/28	Home	S Indiana	139.5	89-70	Over	+19.5
03/04	Neutral	Lindenwood	148.5	62-72	Under	-14.5

Tennessee St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Fisk	--	101-50	Under	--
11/08	Away	Belmont	157.5	79-87	Over	+8.5
11/11	Home	Oakwood	--	114-76	Under	--
11/16	Away	W Kentucky	167.5	82-95	Over	+9.5
11/20	Away	Tennessee	157.5	60-89	Under	-8.5
11/25	Away	NC Asheville	164.0	75-73	Under	-16.0
11/29	Neutral	Tennessee Wesleyan	--	98-77	Under	--
11/30	Away	Chattanooga	155.5	70-64	Under	-21.5
12/03	Away	Alabama A&M	147.5	53-80	Under	-14.5
12/13	Neutral	UNLV	160.5	63-60	Under	-37.5
12/18	Home	UT Martin	142.0	78-71	Over	+7.0
12/20	Home	SE Missouri St	151.5	82-91	Over	+21.5
12/30	Away	Tenn Tech	155.5	88-76	Over	+8.5
01/03	Away	Little Rock	145.0	84-79	Over	+18.0
01/08	Away	W Illinois	145.5	90-68	Over	+12.5
01/10	Away	E Illinois	145.0	70-74	Under	-1.0
01/15	Home	Morehead St	148.5	105-100	Over	+56.5
01/17	Home	S Indiana	150.0	73-67	Under	-10.0
01/22	Away	SIU Edward	143.5	66-74	Under	-3.5
01/24	Away	Lindenwood	160.5	96-86	Over	+21.5
01/29	Home	Little Rock	150.0	70-63	Under	-17.0
02/02	Home	Tenn Tech	153.0	85-90	Over	+22.0
02/05	Home	E Illinois	146.0	77-68	Under	-1.0
02/07	Home	W Illinois	151.0	83-56	Under	-12.0
02/12	Away	S Indiana	147.5	73-71	Under	-3.5
02/14	Away	Morehead St	149.0	86-94	Over	+31.0
02/19	Home	Lindenwood	159.0	89-80	Over	+10.0
02/21	Home	SIU Edward	143.5	80-53	Under	-10.5
02/26	Away	SE Missouri St	152.5	79-71	Under	-2.5
02/28	Away	UT Martin	143.5	67-42	Under	-34.5
03/06	Neutral	UT Martin	137.5	68-55	Under	-14.5
03/07	Neutral	Morehead St	143.5	93-67	Over	+16.5
03/20	Neutral	Iowa St	147.5	74-108	Over	+34.5