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Detroit Mercy at Toledo: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Nov 15, 2025 1:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Toledo by 10, Total Points: 158.5

Matchup Menu: DETU @ TOL

More Games From Nov 15, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 159.0	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 159.0	Similar Games	56% odds to go under
Under 159.0	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	DETU	TOL
Season	14-16-0	13-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-13-0	9-12-0
Streak	Un 3	Un 2
Last 5	1-4-0	2-3-0
Last 10	2-8-0	4-6-0
Home	7-5-0	6-7-0
Away	7-11-0	7-12-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Detroit Mercy Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Illinois Chicago	142.5	71-91	Over	+19.5
11/07	Away	Notre Dame	148.0	70-102	Over	+24.0
11/11	Home	Cleary University	--	92-54	Under	--
11/15	Away	Toledo	158.5	83-90	Over	+14.5
11/18	Home	E Michigan	157.5	62-72	Under	-23.5
11/21	Away	Michigan St	152.5	56-84	Under	-12.5
11/23	Away	DePaul	149.0	75-95	Over	+21.0
11/29	Away	Niagara	142.5	70-66	Under	-6.5
12/03	Home	IU Indy	180.5	92-78	Under	-10.5
12/06	Away	Cleveland St	158.5	71-59	Under	-28.5
12/14	Away	Purdue FW	153.5	77-81	Over	+4.5
12/20	Home	Siena Heights	--	91-60	Under	--
12/29	Away	Youngstown St	146.5	73-68	Under	-5.5
01/02	Home	Robert Morris	148.5	77-85	Over	+13.5
01/09	Home	Wright St	148.5	82-84	Over	+17.5
01/11	Home	Cleveland St	162.5	94-84	Over	+15.5
01/15	Away	N Kentucky	159.5	71-96	Over	+7.5
01/17	Away	IU Indy	169.5	80-77	Under	-12.5
01/21	Home	Purdue FW	155.5	76-83	Over	+3.5
01/24	Home	Oakland	167.0	87-95	Over	+15.0
01/30	Home	N Kentucky	162.5	90-77	Over	+4.5
02/04	Away	Milwaukee	160.0	76-63	Under	-21.0
02/07	Away	Green Bay	149.5	63-76	Under	-10.5
02/12	Away	Wright St	153.5	77-74	Under	-2.5
02/15	Home	Youngstown St	151.5	76-70	Under	-5.5
02/20	Home	Milwaukee	153.5	91-86	Over	+23.5
02/22	Home	Green Bay	147.5	74-70	Under	-3.5
02/25	Away	Robert Morris	150.5	62-73	Under	-15.5
02/28	Away	Oakland	160.5	95-89	Over	+23.5
03/04	Home	Milwaukee	151.5	84-63	Under	-4.5
03/09	Neutral	Robert Morris	146.5	70-64	Under	-12.5
03/10	Away	Wright St	153.5	63-66	Under	-24.5

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Alabama	151.0	74-76	Under	-1.0
11/08	Home	Marshall	161.0	73-85	Under	-3.0
11/11	Away	Wright St	159.0	81-71	Under	-7.0
11/15	Home	Detroit Mercy	158.5	90-83	Over	+14.5
11/19	Home	Youngstown St	160.5	92-75	Over	+6.5
11/24	Neutral	Troy	160.5	75-68	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	Belmont	163.5	72-87	Under	-4.5
12/01	Home	Central State (OH)	--	102-58	Under	--
12/06	Away	Oakland	166.5	97-98	Over	+28.5
12/13	Away	Robert Morris	154.5	70-75	Under	-9.5
12/16	Away	Michigan St	150.5	69-92	Over	+10.5
12/20	Home	Lourdes	--	100-67	Under	--
12/30	Home	W Michigan	160.0	84-79	Over	+3.0
01/03	Away	C Michigan	158.0	78-75	Under	-5.0
01/06	Away	N Illinois	160.0	75-61	Under	-24.0
01/09	Home	Miami OH	166.0	73-87	Under	-6.0
01/13	Home	Ohio	161.5	101-85	Over	+24.5
01/16	Away	Kent St	168.0	84-87	Over	+3.0
01/20	Away	UMass	163.5	82-84	Over	+2.5
01/24	Home	Bowling Green	156.5	73-72	Under	-11.5
01/27	Away	Akron	169.5	81-91	Over	+2.5
01/31	Home	Ball St	146.5	73-55	Under	-18.5
02/03	Home	Kent St	161.5	72-75	Under	-14.5
02/07	Away	J Madison	153.0	71-73	Under	-9.0
02/11	Away	W Michigan	155.0	90-79	Over	+14.0
02/14	Away	Bowling Green	151.0	70-80	Under	-1.0
02/21	Home	E Michigan	146.5	94-75	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	N Illinois	149.5	79-69	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Ohio	158.5	79-67	Under	-12.5
03/03	Away	Miami OH	162.5	72-74	Under	-16.5
03/06	Home	Buffalo	155.5	98-78	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Bowling Green	150.5	77-76	Over	+2.5
03/13	Neutral	UMass	158.5	77-67	Under	-14.5
03/14	Neutral	Akron	157.5	76-79	Under	-2.5