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Detroit Mercy at Niagara: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 29, 2025 1:00 pm - Niagara Falls, NY
Odds: Detroit Mercy by 1.5, Total Points: 142.5

Matchup Menu: DETU @ NIAG

More Games From Nov 29, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU NIAG
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DETU NIAG
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 53.7
Field Goal % 46.3% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 31.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 33.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 16.0
Free Throw % 79.6% 71.0%
Ball Control DETU NIAG
Rebounds 37.1 28.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 6.7
Turnovers 8.5 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.4
Steals 5.8 4.4
Fouls 15.9 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU NIAG
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DETU NIAG
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 30.4%
Player Fouled 20.7% 23.9%
Turnover 12.7% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU NIAG
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.6% 20.5%