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Missouri at Mississippi St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 1:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Missouri by 1.5, Total Points: 155.5

Matchup Menu: MIZZ @ MSST

More Games From Feb 28, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 155.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 155.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go under
Under 155.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MIZZ	MSST
Season	16-16-1	16-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-8-1	9-10-0
Streak	Ov 3	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	7-3-0	5-5-0
Home	10-8-0	5-11-0
Away	6-8-1	11-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Missouri Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Howard	158.5	88-67	Under	-3.5
11/07	Home	SE Missouri St	157.5	89-84	Over	+15.5
11/09	Home	VMI	161.5	106-68	Over	+12.5
11/12	Home	Minnesota	158.5	83-60	Under	-15.5
11/17	Home	Prairie View	166.5	91-73	Under	-2.5
11/20	Home	South Dakota	172.5	102-68	Under	-2.5
11/25	Home	S Carolina St	160.5	98-66	Over	+3.5
11/28	Home	Cleveland St	170.5	86-59	Under	-25.5
12/02	Away	Notre Dame	146.5	71-76	Over	+0.5
12/07	Neutral	Kansas	150.5	60-80	Under	-10.5
12/11	Home	Alabama St	155.5	85-77	Over	+6.5
12/14	Home	Bethune	146.5	82-60	Under	-4.5
12/22	Neutral	Illinois	152.0	48-91	Under	-13.0
01/03	Home	Florida	154.5	76-74	Under	-4.5
01/07	Away	Kentucky	151.0	73-68	Under	-10.0
01/10	Away	Mississippi	143.5	69-76	Over	+1.5
01/14	Home	Auburn	153.5	84-74	Over	+4.5
01/17	Away	LSU	148.0	70-78	Push	0.0
01/20	Home	Georgia	163.5	72-74	Under	-17.5
01/24	Home	Oklahoma	151.5	88-87	Over	+23.5
01/27	Away	Alabama	166.5	64-90	Under	-12.5
01/31	Home	Mississippi St	149.5	84-79	Over	+13.5
02/07	Away	South Carolina	146.5	78-59	Under	-9.5
02/11	Away	Texas A&M	158.0	86-85	Over	+13.0
02/14	Home	Texas	150.5	68-85	Over	+2.5
02/18	Home	Vanderbilt	153.5	81-80	Over	+7.5
02/21	Away	Arkansas	159.5	86-94	Over	+20.5
02/24	Home	Tennessee	144.5	73-69	Under	-2.5
02/28	Away	Mississippi St	155.5	88-64	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Oklahoma	153.5	64-80	Under	-9.5
03/07	Home	Arkansas	163.5	84-88	Over	+8.5
03/12	Neutral	Kentucky	148.5	72-78	Over	+1.5
03/20	Neutral	Miami	145.5	66-80	Over	+0.5

Mississippi St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	N Alabama	151.0	86-62	Under	-3.0
11/10	Neutral	Iowa St	149.0	80-96	Over	+27.0
11/15	Home	SE Louisiana	150.5	75-68	Under	-7.5
11/20	Neutral	Kansas St	165.0	77-98	Over	+10.0
11/21	Neutral	New Mexico	150.5	78-80	Over	+7.5
11/24	Home	New Orleans	161.0	81-78	Under	-2.0
11/28	Home	SMU	162.5	81-87	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Georgia Tech	150.5	85-73	Over	+7.5
12/07	Neutral	San Francisco	151.0	62-65	Under	-24.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah	152.5	82-74	Over	+3.5
12/16	Home	LIU	152.5	87-83	Over	+17.5
12/20	Home	Memphis	153.5	71-66	Under	-16.5
12/29	Home	Alabama St	154.0	94-56	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Texas	157.5	101-98	Over	+41.5
01/07	Home	Oklahoma	159.0	72-53	Under	-34.0
01/10	Away	Kentucky	152.5	68-92	Over	+7.5
01/13	Home	Alabama	171.5	82-97	Over	+7.5
01/17	Home	Mississippi	148.0	67-68	Under	-13.0
01/21	Away	Texas A&M	163.5	68-88	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	Vanderbilt	160.5	56-88	Under	-16.5
01/28	Away	LSU	154.5	80-66	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	Missouri	149.5	79-84	Over	+13.5
02/07	Home	Arkansas	164.0	68-88	Under	-8.0
02/11	Home	Tennessee	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
02/14	Away	Mississippi	144.0	90-78	Over	+24.0
02/18	Home	Auburn	155.5	91-85	Over	+20.5
02/21	Away	South Carolina	151.5	89-97	Over	+34.5
02/25	Away	Alabama	176.5	75-100	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	Missouri	155.5	64-88	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Florida	161.5	74-108	Over	+20.5
03/07	Home	Georgia	167.5	96-102	Over	+30.5
03/11	Neutral	Auburn	160.5	61-79	Under	-20.5