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Tennessee St at Belmont: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Nov 8, 2025 8:00 pm - Nashville, TN
Odds: Belmont by 13.5, Total Points: 157.5

Matchup Menu: TNST @ BEL

More Games From Nov 8, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 157.5	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go under
Under 157.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go under
Over 157.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TNST	BEL
Season	14-16-0	19-12-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-11-0	16-5-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 4
Last 5	2-3-0	4-1-0
Last 10	4-6-0	8-2-0
Home	5-5-0	10-4-0
Away	9-11-0	9-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Tennessee St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Fisk	--	101-50	Under	--
11/08	Away	Belmont	157.5	79-87	Over	+8.5
11/11	Home	Oakwood	--	114-76	Under	--
11/16	Away	W Kentucky	167.5	82-95	Over	+9.5
11/20	Away	Tennessee	157.5	60-89	Under	-8.5
11/25	Away	NC Asheville	164.0	75-73	Under	-16.0
11/29	Neutral	Tennessee Wesleyan	--	98-77	Under	--
11/30	Away	Chattanooga	155.5	70-64	Under	-21.5
12/03	Away	Alabama A&M	147.5	53-80	Under	-14.5
12/13	Neutral	UNLV	160.5	63-60	Under	-37.5
12/18	Home	UT Martin	142.0	78-71	Over	+7.0
12/20	Home	SE Missouri St	151.5	82-91	Over	+21.5
12/30	Away	Tenn Tech	155.5	88-76	Over	+8.5
01/03	Away	Little Rock	145.0	84-79	Over	+18.0
01/08	Away	W Illinois	145.5	90-68	Over	+12.5
01/10	Away	E Illinois	145.0	70-74	Under	-1.0
01/15	Home	Morehead St	148.5	105-100	Over	+56.5
01/17	Home	S Indiana	150.0	73-67	Under	-10.0
01/22	Away	SIU Edward	143.5	66-74	Under	-3.5
01/24	Away	Lindenwood	160.5	96-86	Over	+21.5
01/29	Home	Little Rock	150.0	70-63	Under	-17.0
02/02	Home	Tenn Tech	153.0	85-90	Over	+22.0
02/05	Home	E Illinois	146.0	77-68	Under	-1.0
02/07	Home	W Illinois	151.0	83-56	Under	-12.0
02/12	Away	S Indiana	147.5	73-71	Under	-3.5
02/14	Away	Morehead St	149.0	86-94	Over	+31.0
02/19	Home	Lindenwood	159.0	89-80	Over	+10.0
02/21	Home	SIU Edward	143.5	80-53	Under	-10.5
02/26	Away	SE Missouri St	152.5	79-71	Under	-2.5
02/28	Away	UT Martin	143.5	67-42	Under	-34.5
03/06	Neutral	UT Martin	137.5	68-55	Under	-14.5
03/07	Neutral	Morehead St	143.5	93-67	Over	+16.5
03/20	Neutral	Iowa St	147.5	74-108	Over	+34.5

Belmont Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Air Force	144.0	79-63	Under	-2.0
11/08	Home	Tennessee St	157.5	87-79	Over	+8.5
11/15	Away	Oral Roberts	170.5	83-60	Under	-27.5
11/19	Home	Lipscomb	159.5	75-68	Under	-16.5
11/21	Home	Fisk	--	96-49	Under	--
11/24	Neutral	St Francis PA	157.0	94-57	Under	-6.0
11/26	Neutral	Toledo	163.5	87-72	Under	-4.5
11/30	Away	Charleston	152.5	96-73	Over	+16.5
12/03	Home	Richmond	156.0	76-84	Over	+4.0
12/07	Away	Middle Tenn	154.5	83-62	Under	-9.5
12/13	Home	Illinois Chicago	154.5	87-84	Over	+16.5
12/16	Away	Evansville	148.0	83-78	Over	+13.0
12/19	Away	UC Irvine	151.5	84-58	Under	-9.5
12/29	Away	Indiana St	160.0	80-81	Over	+1.0
01/01	Home	Bradley	153.0	88-78	Over	+13.0
01/04	Home	S Illinois	158.5	67-68	Under	-23.5
01/07	Away	N Iowa	137.0	78-65	Over	+6.0
01/10	Away	Drake	147.5	78-76	Over	+6.5
01/13	Home	Valparaiso	147.0	78-74	Over	+5.0
01/17	Away	S Illinois	152.0	73-68	Under	-11.0
01/24	Home	Illinois St	150.5	80-69	Under	-1.5
01/28	Away	Valparaiso	145.5	78-77	Over	+9.5
01/31	Home	Murray St	163.5	103-86	Over	+25.5
02/03	Home	Drake	154.5	103-90	Over	+38.5
02/06	Away	Illinois Chicago	152.5	68-62	Under	-22.5
02/09	Away	Bradley	152.0	84-95	Over	+27.0
02/12	Home	N Iowa	139.0	91-86	Over	+38.0
02/15	Away	Murray St	166.5	87-70	Under	-9.5
02/21	Home	Indiana St	155.5	87-70	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Evansville	152.5	98-64	Over	+9.5
03/01	Away	Illinois St	150.5	74-81	Over	+4.5
03/06	Neutral	Drake	152.5	79-100	Over	+26.5