Maryland at Virginia: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Dec 20, 2025 6:00 pm - Charlottesville, VA
Odds: Virginia by 16.5, Total Points: 153.5

Matchup Menu: MD @ UVA

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Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 153.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 153.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go under
Under 153.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MD	UVA
Season	18-15-0	17-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-11-0	9-12-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 6
Last 5	2-3-0	5-0-0
Last 10	4-6-0	7-3-0
Home	9-6-0	6-11-0
Away	9-9-0	11-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Maryland Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Neutral	Coppin St	139.0	83-61	Over	+5.0
11/07	Home	Georgetown	143.5	60-70	Under	-13.5
11/11	Home	Alcorn St	147.0	84-64	Over	+1.0
11/15	Away	Marquette	146.0	89-82	Over	+25.0
11/19	Home	Mt St Mary's	145.5	95-90	Over	+39.5
11/24	Neutral	UNLV	163.0	74-67	Under	-22.0
11/25	Neutral	Gonzaga	157.0	61-100	Over	+4.0
11/26	Neutral	Alabama	166.5	72-105	Over	+10.5
12/02	Home	Wagner	142.5	89-63	Over	+9.5
12/06	Away	Iowa	138.5	64-83	Over	+8.5
12/13	Home	Michigan	163.5	83-101	Over	+20.5
12/20	Away	Virginia	153.5	72-80	Under	-1.5
12/28	Home	Old Dominion	155.0	73-58	Under	-24.0
01/02	Home	Oregon	147.0	54-64	Under	-29.0
01/07	Home	Indiana	148.0	66-84	Over	+2.0
01/10	Away	UCLA	148.0	55-67	Under	-26.0
01/13	Away	USC	151.0	71-88	Over	+8.0
01/18	Home	Penn St	148.0	96-73	Over	+21.0
01/21	Away	Illinois	148.5	70-89	Over	+10.5
01/24	Away	Michigan St	139.5	48-91	Under	-0.5
02/01	Home	Purdue	148.5	63-93	Over	+7.5
02/05	Home	Ohio St	151.0	62-82	Under	-7.0
02/08	Away	Minnesota	138.5	67-62	Under	-9.5
02/11	Home	Iowa	139.5	77-70	Over	+7.5
02/15	Away	Rutgers	144.5	57-68	Under	-19.5
02/18	Away	Northwestern	142.0	74-78	Over	+10.0
02/21	Home	Washington	142.5	64-60	Under	-18.5
02/25	Away	Nebraska	142.5	61-74	Under	-7.5
03/01	Home	Rutgers	143.5	65-69	Under	-9.5
03/04	Away	Wisconsin	153.5	45-78	Under	-30.5
03/08	Home	Illinois	145.5	72-78	Over	+4.5
03/10	Neutral	Oregon	139.5	70-60	Under	-9.5
03/11	Neutral	Iowa	133.5	64-75	Over	+5.5

Virginia Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Rider	147.5	87-53	Under	-7.5
11/07	Home	NC Central	153.0	81-62	Under	-10.0
11/11	Home	Hampton	148.5	91-53	Under	-4.5
11/15	Home	Marshall	155.5	104-78	Over	+26.5
11/21	Neutral	Northwestern	149.5	83-78	Over	+11.5
11/23	Neutral	Butler	155.5	73-80	Under	-2.5
11/28	Home	Queens	159.0	94-69	Over	+4.0
12/03	Away	Texas	154.5	88-69	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Dayton	147.5	86-73	Over	+11.5
12/09	Home	Maryland ES	134.5	84-60	Over	+9.5
12/20	Home	Maryland	153.5	80-72	Under	-1.5
12/22	Home	American	154.0	95-51	Under	-8.0
12/31	Away	Virginia Tech	153.5	85-95	Over	+26.5
01/03	Away	NC State	151.5	76-61	Under	-14.5
01/07	Home	California	148.0	84-60	Under	-4.0
01/10	Home	Stanford	143.5	70-55	Under	-18.5
01/13	Away	Louisville	155.0	79-70	Under	-6.0
01/17	Away	SMU	153.0	72-68	Under	-13.0
01/24	Home	North Carolina	148.5	80-85	Over	+16.5
01/27	Away	Notre Dame	146.0	100-97	Over	+51.0
01/31	Away	Boston College	139.5	73-66	Under	-0.5
02/03	Home	Pittsburgh	142.5	67-47	Under	-28.5
02/07	Home	Syracuse	147.5	72-59	Under	-16.5
02/10	Away	Florida St	156.0	61-58	Under	-37.0
02/14	Neutral	Ohio St	146.5	70-66	Under	-10.5
02/18	Away	Georgia Tech	149.0	94-68	Over	+13.0
02/21	Home	Miami	146.5	86-83	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	NC State	152.5	90-61	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Duke	142.5	51-77	Under	-14.5
03/03	Home	Wake Forest	150.5	75-70	Under	-5.5
03/07	Home	Virginia Tech	146.5	76-72	Over	+1.5
03/12	Neutral	NC State	153.5	81-74	Over	+1.5
03/13	Neutral	Miami	145.5	84-62	Over	+0.5
03/14	Neutral	Duke	139.5	70-74	Over	+4.5
03/20	Neutral	Wright St	146.5	82-73	Over	+8.5
03/22	Neutral	Tennessee	137.5	72-79	Over	+13.5